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| Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler |
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WHY SHE WILL WIN Marisa Tomei's turn as aging lap-dancer Cassidy in The Wrestler won her almost as much praise as co-star Mickey Rourke - and not just because she gets nekkid. She's also got form in the category: having won Best Supporting Actress in 1993 for My Cousin Vinny, and been nominated since for In The Bedroom.
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WHY SHE WON'T WIN Mickey Rourke certainly hasn't been helping her case, refusing to talk about Tomei in interviews, and the antipathy between the two may not help. The fact that the Academy got a lot of stick for that My Cousin Vinny win may also hurt her cause this time around.
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