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| Michael Shannon, Revolutionary Road |
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WHY HE WILL WIN Offering a more honest counterpoint to the poisonous, locked-up emotion presented by both Di Caprio and Winslet, he highlighted their mental positions and juxtaposed the cosy chocolate box life they were living with the tumultuous world inside.
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WHY HE WON'T WIN He's the guy no-one's heard of in this category, which is one handicap, and the film was almost entirely shut out of the major categories by the voters, suggesting active dislike given how good it was, which is another. Even if he could overcome these two drawbacks, there's the Ledger factor.
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