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RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions!

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RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 1/12/2012 12:48:50 PM   
rawlinson


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 Ang for Life of Pi.

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RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 1/12/2012 12:55:24 PM   
elab49


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Doh! Thank you

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RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 1/12/2012 11:11:45 PM   
Powka


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Daniel-Day Lewis for Best Actor! Daniel-Day Lewis for Best Actor! Daniel-Day Lewis for Best Actor!
* haven't even seen Lincoln yet, lol.

Anyone know if Les Miserables will be considered for Oscars 2013, as they're opening pretty close to the ceremony?..

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RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 1/12/2012 11:21:13 PM   
elab49


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There'll be a qualifying showing before the turn of the year.

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RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 2/12/2012 1:39:53 AM   
Powka


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Do you guys think there is a chance for Daniel Day-Lewis to win an Oscar this year? Sounds kind of unbelievable however good his performance is, because that would mean Academy has to give away a THIRD statuette to a non-American actor, who also hasn't even been in so much stuff, and isn't really "Hollywood" with all his eccentricity and being constantly away from the industry.

< Message edited by Powka -- 2/12/2012 1:41:31 AM >

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RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 2/12/2012 9:07:25 AM   
elab49


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If I was voting I'd take into account that, for me, he got one he shouldn't have.

But he'a generally a good actor, it's a biog which is always good, and it's the very Americal Lincoln which is probably even more so. I don't see why not.

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RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 2/12/2012 9:50:06 AM   
Powka


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quote:

ORIGINAL: elab49

If I was voting I'd take into account that, for me, he got one he shouldn't have.

But he'a generally a good actor, it's a biog which is always good, and it's the very Americal Lincoln which is probably even more so. I don't see why not.


Is it for My Left Foot? Who would've you given it to?

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RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 2/12/2012 10:18:25 AM   
elab49


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I'm happy with My Left Foot I just don't worship at the church of TWBB.

http://www.empireonline.com/forum/tm.asp?m=2036681&mpage=2&key=oscar%2Cperformance

YOu might like an older thread that talked about Oscar performances and the deservedness.  For the same question, DDL's performance was probably least of those 5 for me. Looking at the other films nominees, Amalric and Gosling would have squeezed a couple of them out too.

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RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 2/12/2012 10:48:25 AM   
Powka


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quote:

ORIGINAL: elab49

I'm happy with My Left Foot I just don't worship at the church of TWBB.

http://www.empireonline.com/forum/tm.asp?m=2036681&mpage=2&key=oscar%2Cperformance

YOu might like an older thread that talked about Oscar performances and the deservedness.  For the same question, DDL's performance was probably least of those 5 for me. Looking at the other films nominees, Amalric and Gosling would have squeezed a couple of them out too.

quote:

f TWB


Wait, what? Gosling and Amalric weren't nominated that year. I can't figure out what I'm missing here I also don't think that DDL did worse than Clooney, Depp, Jones or Vortensen. If anything, I think the competition was just too weak that year

C'mon, he won every single Best Actor award that year! It's not just the Academy, he swept everything! Surely that means something

EDIT: I couldn't find anything on TWBB in that thread. What I did find though, is another Oscar for Daniel Day-Lewis, which he should have definitely gotten - for Gangs of New York. Then Lincoln would've been his fourth, lol

< Message edited by Powka -- 2/12/2012 10:53:18 AM >

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RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 2/12/2012 11:42:18 AM   
matty_b


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 Day-Lewis was superb in TWBB, but I'd also say it was a fairly weak year in that category.

I think what elab is saying is that even though they weren't nominated, Gosling for Lars and the Real Girl and Almaric for The Diving Bell and the Butterfly, would have been better choices for best actor. They should have been nominated, she's right.


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RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 2/12/2012 12:04:22 PM   
Powka


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quote:

ORIGINAL: matty_b


I think what elab is saying is that even though they weren't nominated, Gosling for Lars and the Real Girl and Almaric for The Diving Bell and the Butterfly, would have been better choices for best actor. They should have been nominated, she's right.


Aaah, now I get it. Thanks. Yeah, they definitely should've been nominated! And probably instead of a few others that were. But better performances than DDL? Nnnaaaah, I don't think so.

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Post #: 101
RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 2/12/2012 12:07:21 PM   
rawlinson


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 Looking at the list of who was eligible that year, I think I'd have nominated

Daniel Day Lewis
JGL - The Lookout
Ryan Gosling
Cillian Murphy - The Wind That Shakes the Barley
Timothy Spall - Pierrepoint

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RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 2/12/2012 12:19:40 PM   
rawlinson


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 Going through some of these old eligibility lists, the Academy rules on release dates means that we could have had some cracking, if odd, line-ups. Best picture 1993 could have been

Blue
Groundhog Day
The Long Day Closes
My Neighbor Totoro
Naked

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Post #: 103
RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 2/12/2012 1:53:42 PM   
elab49


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Powka


quote:

ORIGINAL: matty_b


I think what elab is saying is that even though they weren't nominated, Gosling for Lars and the Real Girl and Almaric for The Diving Bell and the Butterfly, would have been better choices for best actor. They should have been nominated, she's right.


Aaah, now I get it. Thanks. Yeah, they definitely should've been nominated! And probably instead of a few others that were. But better performances than DDL? Nnnaaaah, I don't think so.


But  hat some random person thinks doesn't impact on my opinion - one note, shouty and ultimately quite annoying. I find the film damn near unwatchable now - and would have to turn off before the idiocy of milkshakes

And as Matty said - I had a quick look through the films nominated in other categories to assume eligibility of actors who didn't make it to the final 5  And I'd add Spall's Pierrepoint as well. But this is a category that missed Thewlis in Naked. So while this is a guessing game it is really just for another silly pointless award (yes, I know that's a lame and old argument).

Except for short animation - it really grinds my gears when they frak that up!

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RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 13/12/2012 2:06:38 PM   
Judge


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 Unlikely, especially without the SAG nom, but Sam Rockwell was fantastic in Seven Psychopaths. I'm a huge fan so I'd love to see him finally get some recognition.

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Post #: 105
RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 16/12/2012 6:20:58 PM   
Groovy Mule

 

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My predictions are:

Best Picture
- Argo
- Beasts of the Southern Wild
- Les Miserables
- Life of Pi
- Lincoln
- The Master
- The Silver Linings Playbook
- Zero Dark Thirty

Best Director
- Ben Affleck, Argo
- Ang Lee, Life of Pi
- Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
- Paul Thomas Anderson, The Master
- Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty

Best Actor
- Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
- Daniel Day Lewis, Lincoln
- John Hawkes, The Sessions
- Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
- Joaquin Phoenix, The Master

Best Actress
- Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty
- Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone
- Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
- Quvenzhane Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild
- Naomi Watts, The Impossible

Best Supporting Actor
- Alan Arkin, Argo
- Javier Bardem, Skyfall
- Leonardo diCaprio, Django Unchained
- Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
- Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln

Best Supporting Actress
- Amy Adams, The Master
- Sally Field, Lincoln
- Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
- Helen Hunt, The Sessions
- Nicole Kidman, The Paperboy

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Post #: 106
RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 26/12/2012 11:54:36 PM   
elab49


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Remember the year they thought Foreign Film was a toss up between White Ribbon and A Prophet and Secret in Their Eyes (rightly IMO  won). And Haneke lost out because of rules shenanigans for Hidden?

I'm wondering if they'll do it again and think War Witch may take the prize. I was wondering if Amour might get into the main list though?


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Post #: 107
RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 27/12/2012 12:02:19 AM   
rawlinson


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 I haven't seen Intouchables yet. Is it as bad as it looks? The synopsis reads like please give me an Oscar box-ticking.

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RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 27/12/2012 12:06:46 AM   
elab49


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I like Cluzet but it didn't really hit a chord with me. I was going to try it again though - I think it's one of those ones that might work better if you're in the mood for it so I wouldn't write it off at the moment. The whole opening scene and then the other intro just felt quite forced and that didn't start it off very well.

Haven't seen No but fortunately should be able to next month. And my Icelandic DVD place is still sold out of The Deep annoyingly. I tried there ages ago as it's where I got Reykjavik Rotterdam, and it's still not back in stock.


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RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 27/12/2012 12:30:43 AM   
rawlinson


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 I'll probably wait until I can see it for free. I don't know if I want to pay for something that looks so sugary.

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RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 27/12/2012 2:10:43 AM   
rawlinson


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 The eligibility list is out, not sure if it's been mentioned yet but I didn't realise they'd released it this early

http://www.oscars.org/awards/academyawards/rules/reminderlist.html

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Post #: 111
RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 2/1/2013 2:36:40 PM   
Qwerty Norris


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From: Edinburgh
 Here's my blindfolded set of predictions (haven't predicted them all as adding any others would mean going through what others have gone for).

BEST PICTURE (is it still a huge list?)

Lincoln
Life Of Pi
Zero Dark Thirty
Argo
Silver Linings Playbook
Les Miserables
Django Unchained

BEST ACTOR

Daniel Day Lewis (Lincoln)
Joaquin Phoenix (The Master)

BEST ACTRESS

Jennifer Lawrence (Silver Linings Playbook)
Sally Field (Lincoln)
Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln)
Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Master)
Alan Arkin (Argo)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Amy Adams (The Master)
Anne Hathaway (Les Miserables)
Helena Bonham Carter (Les Miserables)

BEST DIRECTOR

Ben Affleck (Argo)
Stephen Spielberg (Lincoln)
Kathryn Bigelow (Zero Dark Thirty)
Ang Lee (Life Of Pi)
Tom Hooper (Les Miserables)

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Qwerty's Top 10 of 2013 (so far)

1. Zero Dark Thirty
2. No
3. In The Fog
4. Good Vibrations
5. McCullin
6. Beyond the Hills
7. The Place Beyond the Pines
8. Wreck-it Ralph
9. Shell
10. In The House



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Post #: 112
RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 4/1/2013 3:52:26 PM   
DouglasG


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 Two of my favourite films this year, Shadow Dancer and Tabu don't qualify :(

Oh well, hoping for the Imposter!

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Post #: 113
RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 5/1/2013 4:30:27 PM   
rawlinson


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 Final predictions before the noms this week

Picture

Argo
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Django Unchained
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
The Master
Moonrise Kingdom
Silver Linings Playbook
Zero Dark Thirty

Director

Ben Affleck - Argo
Kathryn Bigelow - Zero Dark Thirty
Ang Lee - Life of Pi
David O Russell - Silver Linings Playbook
Steven Spielberg - Lincoln

Actor

Bradley Cooper - Silver Linings Playbook
Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln
John Hawkes - The Sessions
Hugh Jackman - Les Miserables
Denzel Washington - Flight

Actress

Jessica Chastain - Zero Dark Thirty
Jennifer Lawrence - Silver Linings Playbook
Quvenzhane Wallis - Beasts of the Southern Wild
Naomi Watts - The Impossible
Rachel Weisz - The Deep Blue Sea

Supporting Actor

Alan Arkin - Argo
Robert De Niro - Silver Linings Playbook
Leonardo DiCaprio - Django Unchained
Philip Seymour Hoffman - The Master
Tommy Lee Jones - Lincoln

Supporting Actress

Amy Adams - The Master
Sally Field - Lincoln
Anne Hathaway - Les Miserables
Helen Hunt - The Sessions
Nicole Kidman - The Paperboy

Original Screenplay

Django Unchained
Looper
The Master
Moonrise Kingdom
Zero Dark Thirty

Adapted Screenplay

Argo
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook

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RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 10/1/2013 12:00:23 AM   
DouglasG


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 Lincoln and Zero Dark Thirty are wonderful films. :) loved them!

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RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 10/1/2013 8:25:30 AM   
matty_b


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 Last ones before the noms today. I'll go with the maximum ten for Film, in descending of likeliness.

Best Film

Argo
Lincoln
Zero Dark Thirty
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Silver Linings Playbook
Amour
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Django Unchained
The Master

(wildcard - Skyfall)

Best Director

Ben Affleck - Argo
Steven Spielberg - Lincoln
Kathryn Bigelow - Zero Dark Thirty
Ang Lee - Life of Pi
David O. Russell - Silver Linings Playbook

(wildcard - Tom Hooper for Les Mis)

Best Actor

Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln
Hugh Jackman - Les Miserables
John Hawkes - The Sessions
Bradley Cooper - Silver Linings Playbook
Denzel Washington - Flight

(wildcard - Joaquin Phoenix for The Master)

Best Actress

Jessica Chastain - Zero Dark Thirty
Jennifer Lawrence - Silver Linings Playbook
Emmanuelle Riva - Amour
Naomi Watts - The Impossible
Quvenzhane Wallis - Beasts of the Southern Wild

(wildcard - Rachel Weisz for The Deep Blue Sea)

Best Supporting Actor

Tommy Lee Jones - Lincoln
Philip Seymour Hoffman - The Master
Alan Arkin - Argo
Christoph Waltz - Django Unchained
Matthew McConnaughey - Magic Mike

(wildcard - Javier Bardem for Skyfall or Dwight Henry for Beasts of the Southern Wild)

Best Supporting Actress

Anne Hathaway - Les Miserables
Sally Field - Lincoln
Helen Hunt - The Sessions
Amy Adams - The Master
Maggie Smith - Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

(wildcard - Nicole Kidman for The Paperboy)

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Post #: 116
RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 10/1/2013 9:32:30 AM   
rawlinson


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Joined: 13/6/2008
From: Timbuktu. Chinese or Fictional.
 Amour is a tough one. It's the kind of film you can see sneaking in there and picking up a few non-surprising surprises. But part of me isn't feeling it, probably because Haneke is a director who is always predicted and then the films don't perform.

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Post #: 117
RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 10/1/2013 9:37:05 AM   
matty_b


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 Yeah, I'm thinking he's got to break through one day into the nominations and although I haven't seen it yet, it sounds accessible enough to do so.

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Post #: 118
RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 10/1/2013 9:50:02 AM   
rawlinson


Posts: 40196
Joined: 13/6/2008
From: Timbuktu. Chinese or Fictional.
 Yeah, it's just the lack of precursor love stopping me predicting it. I'm thinking Riva or screenplay are the most likely places it could turn up. Surprised you don't have Leo down even as a wildcard though.

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Post #: 119
RE: Oscars 2013 - The Predictions! - 10/1/2013 9:54:52 AM   
matty_b


Posts: 12882
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From: Outpost 31 calling McMurtle.
 I should really have put him and Waltz done as an 'either/or' pick, really. He might well be nominated, but I can't help thinking they'll split the vote between them.

< Message edited by matty_b -- 10/1/2013 9:55:12 AM >

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