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OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been Nominated

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OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been Nomi... - 21/2/2009 9:47:31 AM   
elab49


Posts: 17957
Joined: 1/10/2005
Since various predictions have changed and are all over the other thread interspersed with discussions and other stuff, is there any objection to me copy/pasting the final predictions from the thread to a single place - here? If anyone wants to change their prediction before tomorrow night I can just delete the post with theirs and they can replace it.

_____________________________

Apes had it worked out. No ape would philosphise "The mountain is, and is not". The ape would think "The banana is. I will eat the banana. There is no banana. I want another banana"

SAVE THE KAKAPO!

Apr 09 Of Time and the City (2008)
May 09 Invisible Man (1933)
Jun 09 You, The Living (2007)
Jul 09 Watchmaker of St Paul (1974)
Aug 09 An Actor's Revenge (1963)
Sep 09 A Canterbury Tale (1944)
Oct 09 Up (2009)
Post #: 1
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 21/2/2009 10:45:23 AM   
onyx79


Posts: 163
Joined: 15/2/2006
From: Malta (until the end of August)
 I so wish I had english TV here in Malta, been investigating around and it does not seem anyone will show the ceremony live. It'll be the first time I'll miss out



_____________________________

Support the making of "Invasion of the not quite dead" and become a producer TODAY by donating to www.theindywoodproject.com

(in reply to elab49)
Post #: 2
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 21/2/2009 11:05:19 AM   
elab49


Posts: 17957
Joined: 1/10/2005
Working backwards through the thread.

RAWLINSON

Picture
Should win: Milk
Will win: Slumdog Millionaire
Should have been nominated: Cut everything except Milk and replace them with Wall-E, The Wrestler, Gomorrah and In Bruges

Director
Should win: Gus Van Sant - Milk
Will win: Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionaire
Should have been nominated: See best picture

Actor:
Should win: Mickey Rourke or Sean Penn
Will win: Rourke or Penn. * Tosses coin* Rourke just takes it.
Should have been nominated: Strongest category of the year, cut Pitt for his oddly passive performance and replace him with anyone from Jeff Goldblum in Adam Resurrected, Michael Fassbender in Hunger, Leonardo Di Caprio in Revolutionary Road, Colin Farrell in In Bruges, Toni Servillo in Gomorrah or Benicio Del Toro in Che

Actress
Should win: Kate Winslet
Will win: Winslet
Should have been nominated: Cut Streep and Jolie and replace them with Kristin Scott Thomas and Michelle Williams. Also swap Winslet's nomination from The Reader to Revolutionary Road.

Supporting Actor:
Should win: Heath Ledger or Robert Downey Jr.
Will win: Ledger
Should have been nominated: Cut PSH and replace him with Brendan Gleeson for  In Bruges

Supporting Actress
Should win: Penelope Cruz or Marisa Tomei
Will win: Cruz
Should have been nominated: A weak category this year, cut Viola Davis and replace with Misty Upham in Frozen River

Original Screenplay
Should win: Wall-E or In Bruges
Will win: Milk
Should have been nominated: Cut Happy-Go-Lucky and replace it with The Wrestler, Rachel Getting Married or The Visitor

Adapted Screenplay
Should win: Slumdog Millionaire
Will win: Slumdog Millionaire
Should have been nominated: Worst category of the night, IMO. You could cut every nominated screenplay and replace them with better films. Try any five of Wendy And Lucy, Revolutionary Road, Gomorrah, Che, Appaloosa, Adam Resurrected

Animated Film
Should win: Wall-E
Will win: Wall-E
Should have been nominated: Cut Kung-Fu Panda and replace it with Waltz With Bashir

Foreign Film
Should win: Waltz With Bashir
Will win: I want to say Bashir, but because of the odd voting rules and the fact that the more conservative element of The Academy are rumoured to vote in this section I'm going to go with The Class.
Should have been nominated: Gomorrah

Art Direction
Should win: The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button
Will win: The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button
Should have been nominated: The Fall

Cinematography
Should win: The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button
Will win: Slumdog
Should have been nominated: Gomorrah

Costume Design
Should win: The Duchess
Will win: The Duchess
Should have been nominated: The Fall

Editing
Should win: Milk
Will win: Slumdog

Make-Up
Should win: Benjamin Button
Will win: Benjamin Button

Score
Should win: Wall-E
Will win: Slumdog

Song
Should win: Wall-E
Will win: Jai-Ho
Should have been nominated: Springsteen for The Wrestler. Worst oversight of this Oscar year.

Sound
Should win: Wall-E
Will win: The Dark Knight

Sound Editing
Should win: Wall-E
Will win: The Dark Knight

Visual Effects
Should win: Button
Will win: Button
Should have been nominated: Hellboy 2

Documentary
Should win: Man On Wire
Will win: Man On Wire

Documentary Short
Should win: Haven't seen enough to judge
Will win: The Witness From The Balcony Of Room 306

Animated Short
Should win: Presto
Will win: Presto

Live Action Short
Should win: Haven't seen enough to judge
Will win: Toyland


_____________________________

Apes had it worked out. No ape would philosphise "The mountain is, and is not". The ape would think "The banana is. I will eat the banana. There is no banana. I want another banana"

SAVE THE KAKAPO!

Apr 09 Of Time and the City (2008)
May 09 Invisible Man (1933)
Jun 09 You, The Living (2007)
Jul 09 Watchmaker of St Paul (1974)
Aug 09 An Actor's Revenge (1963)
Sep 09 A Canterbury Tale (1944)
Oct 09 Up (2009)

(in reply to onyx79)
Post #: 3
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 21/2/2009 11:06:14 AM   
elab49


Posts: 17957
Joined: 1/10/2005
MOTH

Best Picture - Slumdog Millionaire
Best Director - Danny Boyle (Slumdog Millionaire)
Best Actor - Mickey Rourke (The Wrestler)
Best Actress - Kate Winslet (The Reader)
Best Supporting Actor - Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight)
Best Supporting Actress - Penelope Cruz (Vicki Cristina Barcelona)
Best Original Screenplay - Milk
Best Adapted Screenplay - Slumdog Millionaire
Best Animated Film - Wall-E
Best Foreign Film - Waltz With Bashir
Best Art Direction - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Best Cinematography - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Best Costume Design - Milk
Best Sound Editing - The Dark Knight
Best Sound Mixing - The Dark Knight
Best Visual Effects - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Best Film Editing - Slumdog Millionaire
Best Make Up - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Best Score - Slumdog Millionaire
Best Song - Jai Ho (Slumdog Millionaire)
Best Short Animated Film - Presto
Best Short Film - New Boy
Best Documentary - Man on Wire
Best Documentary Short - The Final Inch


_____________________________

Apes had it worked out. No ape would philosphise "The mountain is, and is not". The ape would think "The banana is. I will eat the banana. There is no banana. I want another banana"

SAVE THE KAKAPO!

Apr 09 Of Time and the City (2008)
May 09 Invisible Man (1933)
Jun 09 You, The Living (2007)
Jul 09 Watchmaker of St Paul (1974)
Aug 09 An Actor's Revenge (1963)
Sep 09 A Canterbury Tale (1944)
Oct 09 Up (2009)

(in reply to elab49)
Post #: 4
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 21/2/2009 11:06:52 AM   
elab49


Posts: 17957
Joined: 1/10/2005
DAVE B
 
Best Picture - The Curious Case of Benjammin Button
Best Director - Danny Boyle (Slumdog Millionaire)
Best Actor - Mickey Rourke (The Wrestler)
Best Actress - Kate Winslet (The Reader)
Best Supporting Actor - Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight)
Best Supporting Actress - Penelope Cruz (Vicki Cristina Barcelona)
Best Original Screenplay - Wall-E
Best Adapted Screenplay - Slumdog Millionaire
Best Animated Film - Wall-E
Best Foreign Film - The Baader Meinhof Complex
Best Art Direction - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Best Cinematography - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Best Costume Design - Australia
Best Sound Editing - The Dark Knight
Best Sound Mixing - Wall-E
Best Visual Effects - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Best Film Editing - Slumdog Millionaire
Best Make Up - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Best Score - Slumdog Millionaire
Best Song - Jai Ho (Slumdog Millionaire)
Best Short Animated Film - This Way Up
Best Short Film - Manon on the Asphalt
Best Documentary - Man on Wire
Best Documentary Short - Smile Pinki

_____________________________

Apes had it worked out. No ape would philosphise "The mountain is, and is not". The ape would think "The banana is. I will eat the banana. There is no banana. I want another banana"

SAVE THE KAKAPO!

Apr 09 Of Time and the City (2008)
May 09 Invisible Man (1933)
Jun 09 You, The Living (2007)
Jul 09 Watchmaker of St Paul (1974)
Aug 09 An Actor's Revenge (1963)
Sep 09 A Canterbury Tale (1944)
Oct 09 Up (2009)

(in reply to elab49)
Post #: 5
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 21/2/2009 11:09:33 AM   
elab49


Posts: 17957
Joined: 1/10/2005
KnightofZyryab - predictions are emboldened, and the nominee I think should win in purple
 
Best Motion Picture of the Year
Slumdog Millionaire
 
Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Mickey Rourke 

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Kate Winslet
Angelina Jolie

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
Heath Ledger 

 
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Penelope Cruz

Best Achievement in Directing
Danny Boyle

Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen
Happy-Go-Lucky


Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published
The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button 


Best Achievement in Cinematography
The Dark Knight
Slumdog Millionaire

Best Achievement in Editing
The Dark Knight
Slumdog Millionaire

Best Achievement in Art Direction
Changeling 


Best Achievement in Costume Design
The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button


Best Achievement in Makeup
The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button
Hellboy II: The Golden Army

Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Score
Slumdog Millionaire

Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Song
Slumdog Millionaire 


Best Achievement in Sound
The Dark Knight
Slumdog Millionaire 


Best Achievement in Sound Editing
The Dark Knight


Best Achievement in Visual Effects
The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight


Best Animated Feature Film of the Year
WALL-E

Best Foreign Language Film of the Year
The Baader Meinhof Complex
Waltz With Bashir

_____________________________

Apes had it worked out. No ape would philosphise "The mountain is, and is not". The ape would think "The banana is. I will eat the banana. There is no banana. I want another banana"

SAVE THE KAKAPO!

Apr 09 Of Time and the City (2008)
May 09 Invisible Man (1933)
Jun 09 You, The Living (2007)
Jul 09 Watchmaker of St Paul (1974)
Aug 09 An Actor's Revenge (1963)
Sep 09 A Canterbury Tale (1944)
Oct 09 Up (2009)

(in reply to elab49)
Post #: 6
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 21/2/2009 11:10:41 AM   
elab49


Posts: 17957
Joined: 1/10/2005
Amelie_Scotland

Best Film - Slumdog Millionaire
Best Director - Danny Boyle (Slumdog Millionaire)
Best Actor - Sean Penn (Milk) I just feel he has the advantage over Rourke, being a well respected name and the performance being phenomenal in my opinion.
Best Actress - Kate Winslet (The Reader) There will be a lot of anger if she doesn't win, especially over a rather weak Streep performance.
Best Supporting Actor - Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight) Same here. He created something truly special that will remain iconic.
Best Supporting Actress - Penelope Cruz (Vicky Cristina Barcelona) A great performance and my stand out from the nominated, Davis close behind.
Best Adapted Screenplay - Slumdog Millionaire
Best Original Screenplay - Milk (It deserves a big win especially with Slumdog taking the 2 main ones)
Best Animation - Wall-E

< Message edited by elab49 -- 21/2/2009 11:12:11 AM >

_____________________________

Apes had it worked out. No ape would philosphise "The mountain is, and is not". The ape would think "The banana is. I will eat the banana. There is no banana. I want another banana"

SAVE THE KAKAPO!

Apr 09 Of Time and the City (2008)
May 09 Invisible Man (1933)
Jun 09 You, The Living (2007)
Jul 09 Watchmaker of St Paul (1974)
Aug 09 An Actor's Revenge (1963)
Sep 09 A Canterbury Tale (1944)
Oct 09 Up (2009)

(in reply to elab49)
Post #: 7
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 21/2/2009 11:11:23 AM   
elab49


Posts: 17957
Joined: 1/10/2005
MAX12
 
Best Actor
 
Richard Jenkins (The Visitor)
Frank Langella (Frost/Nixon)
Sean Penn (Milk)
Brad Pitt (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)
Mickey Rourke (The Wrestler)
 
Best Supporting Actor
 
Josh Brolin (Milk)
Robert Downey Jnr (Tropic Thunder)
Phillip Seymour Hoffman (Doubt)
Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight)
Michael Shannon (Revolutionary Road)

Best Actress
 
Anne Hathaway (Rachel Getting Married)
Angelina Jolie (Changeling)
Melissa Leo (Frozen River)
Meryl Streep (Doubt)
Kate Winslet (The Reader)

Best Supporting Actress
 
Amy Adams (Doubt)
Penelope Cruz (Vicky Cristina Barcelona)
Viola Davis (Doubt)
Taraji P Henson (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)
Marisa Tomei (The Wrestler)

Best Animated Film
 
Bolt
Kung Fu Panda
Wall-E
 
Best Foreign Film
 
The Baader Meinhof Complex
Waltz With Bashir
The Class
Departures
Revanche

Best Adapted Screenplay
 
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Doubt
Frost/Nixon
The Reader
Slumdog Millionaire

Best Original Screenplay
 
Frozen River
Happy Go Lucky
In Bruges
Milk
Wall-E

Best Director
 
David Fincher (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)
Gus Van Sant (Milk)
Danny Boyle (Slumdog Millionaire)
Stephen Daldry (The Reader)
Ron Howard (Frost/Nixon)

Best Visual Effects

The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Iron Man

Best Film
 
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Frost/Nixon
Milk
The Reader
Slumdog Millionaire


_____________________________

Apes had it worked out. No ape would philosphise "The mountain is, and is not". The ape would think "The banana is. I will eat the banana. There is no banana. I want another banana"

SAVE THE KAKAPO!

Apr 09 Of Time and the City (2008)
May 09 Invisible Man (1933)
Jun 09 You, The Living (2007)
Jul 09 Watchmaker of St Paul (1974)
Aug 09 An Actor's Revenge (1963)
Sep 09 A Canterbury Tale (1944)
Oct 09 Up (2009)

(in reply to elab49)
Post #: 8
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 21/2/2009 11:12:52 AM   
elab49


Posts: 17957
Joined: 1/10/2005
Dantes Inferno
 
Best Actor

Richard Jenkins (The Visitor)
Frank Langella (Frost/Nixon)
Sean Penn (Milk)
Brad Pitt (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)
Mickey Rourke (The Wrestler)

Best Supporting Actor

Josh Brolin (Milk)
Robert Downey Jnr (Tropic Thunder)
Phillip Seymour Hoffman (Doubt)
Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight)
Michael Shannon (Revolutionary Road)

Best Actress

Anne Hathaway (Rachel Getting Married)
Angelina Jolie (Changeling)
Melissa Leo (Frozen River)
Meryl Streep (Doubt)
Kate Winslet (The Reader)

Best Supporting Actress

Amy Adams (Doubt)
Penelope Cruz (Vicky Cristina Barcelona)
Viola Davis (Doubt)
Taraji P Henson (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)
Marisa Tomei (The Wrestler)

Best Animated Film

Bolt
Kung Fu Panda
Wall-E

Best Foreign Film

The Baader Meinhof Complex
Waltz With Bashir
The Class
Departures
Revanche

Best Adapted Screenplay

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Doubt
Frost/Nixon
The Reader
Slumdog Millionaire

Best Original Screenplay

Frozen River
Happy Go Lucky
In Bruges
Milk
Wall-E

Best Director

David Fincher (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)
Gus Van Sant (Milk)
Danny Boyle (Slumdog Millionaire)
Stephen Daldry (The Reader)
Ron Howard (Frost/Nixon)

Best Film

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Frost/Nixon
Milk
The Reader
Slumdog Millionaire


_____________________________

Apes had it worked out. No ape would philosphise "The mountain is, and is not". The ape would think "The banana is. I will eat the banana. There is no banana. I want another banana"

SAVE THE KAKAPO!

Apr 09 Of Time and the City (2008)
May 09 Invisible Man (1933)
Jun 09 You, The Living (2007)
Jul 09 Watchmaker of St Paul (1974)
Aug 09 An Actor's Revenge (1963)
Sep 09 A Canterbury Tale (1944)
Oct 09 Up (2009)

(in reply to elab49)
Post #: 9
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 21/2/2009 11:13:29 AM   
elab49


Posts: 17957
Joined: 1/10/2005
Goodfella
 
Best Actor
 
Richard Jenkins (The Visitor)
Frank Langella (Frost/Nixon)
Sean Penn (Milk)
Brad Pitt (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)
Mickey Rourke (The Wrestler)
 
Best Supporting Actor
 
Josh Brolin (Milk)
Robert Downey Jnr (Tropic Thunder)
Phillip Seymour Hoffman (Doubt)
Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight)
Michael Shannon (Revolutionary Road)

Best Actress
 
Anne Hathaway (Rachel Getting Married)
Angelina Jolie (Changeling)
Melissa Leo (Frozen River)
Meryl Streep (Doubt)
Kate Winslet (The Reader)

Best Supporting Actress
 
Amy Adams (Doubt)
Penelope Cruz (Vicky Cristina Barcelona)
Viola Davis (Doubt)
Taraji P Henson (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)
Marisa Tomei (The Wrestler)

Best Animated Film
 
Bolt
Kung Fu Panda
Wall-E
 
Best Foreign Film
 
The Baader Meinhof Complex
Waltz With Bashir
The Class
Departures
Revanche

Best Adapted Screenplay
 
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Doubt
Frost/Nixon
The Reader
Slumdog Millionaire

Best Original Screenplay
 
Frozen River
Happy Go Lucky
In Bruges
Milk
Wall-E

Best Director
 
David Fincher (The Curious Case of Benjamin Button)
Gus Van Sant (Milk)
Danny Boyle (Slumdog Millionaire)
Stephen Daldry (The Reader)
Ron Howard (Frost/Nixon)

Best Film
 
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Frost/Nixon
Milk
The Reader
Slumdog Millionaire


_____________________________

Apes had it worked out. No ape would philosphise "The mountain is, and is not". The ape would think "The banana is. I will eat the banana. There is no banana. I want another banana"

SAVE THE KAKAPO!

Apr 09 Of Time and the City (2008)
May 09 Invisible Man (1933)
Jun 09 You, The Living (2007)
Jul 09 Watchmaker of St Paul (1974)
Aug 09 An Actor's Revenge (1963)
Sep 09 A Canterbury Tale (1944)
Oct 09 Up (2009)

(in reply to elab49)
Post #: 10
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 21/2/2009 11:15:00 AM   
elab49


Posts: 17957
Joined: 1/10/2005
Groovy Mule
 
Best Film
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Frost/Nixon
Milk
The Reader
Slumdog Millionaire

Should Win: Slumdog Millionaire
Will Win: Slumdog Millionaire
Should Be There: Wall-E in place of The Reader

Director
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - David Fincher
Frost/Nixon - Ron Howard
Milk - Gus Van Sant
The Reader - Stephen Daldry
Slumdog Millionaire - Danny Boyle

Should Win: Danny Boyle
Will Win: Boyle
Should Be There: Sam Mendes (Revolutionary Road)

Actor In A Leading Role
The Visitor - Richard Jenkins
Frost/Nixon - Frank Langella
Milk - Sean Penn
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button -
Brad Pitt
The Wrestler - Mickey Rourke

Should Win: Too early to say
Will Win: Mickey Rourke
Should Be There: Leonardo DiCaprio (Revolutionary Road)

Actor In A Supporting Role
Milk - Josh Brolin
Tropic Thunder - Robert Downey Jr.
Doubt - Philip Seymour Hoffman
The Dark Knight - Heath Ledger
Revolutionary Road - Michael Shannon
 
Should Win: Michael Shannon
Will Win: Heath Ledger
Should Be There: Eddie Marsan (Happy Go Lucky) in place of Robert Downey Jr.

Actress In A Leading Role
Rachel Getting Married - Anne Hathaway
Changeling - Angelina Jolie
Frozen River - Melissa Leo
Doubt - Meryl Streep
The Reader - Kate Winslet

Should Win: Kate Winslet
Will Win: Kate Winslet
Should Be There: Kristin Scott Thomas (I've Loved You So Long), Kate Winslet (Revolutionary Road), Sally Hawkins (Happy Go Lucky)

Actress In A Supporting Role
Doubt - Amy Adams
Vicky Cristina Barcelona - Penélope Cruz
Doubt - Viola Davis
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - Taraji P. Henson
The Wrestler - Marisa Tomei

Should Win: Too early
Will Win: Penelope Cruz
Should Be There: ?

Adapted Screenplay
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - Eric Roth, Robin Swicord
Doubt - John Patrick Shanley
Frost/Nixon - Peter Morgan
The Reader - David Hare
Slumdog Millionaire - Simon Beaufoy

Should Win: Slumdog Millionaire
Will Win: Slumdog Millionaire

Original Screenplay
Frozen River - Courtney Hunt
Happy-Go-Lucky - Mike Leigh
In Bruges - Martin McDonagh
Milk - Dustin Lance Black
WALL-E - Andrew Stanton, Jim Reardon, Pete Docter

Should Win: In Bruges
Will Win: Milk
Should Be There: Vicky Cristina Barcelona

Animated Feature
Bolt
Kung Fu Panda
WALL-E
 
Should Win: Wall-E
Will Win: Wall-E
Should Be There: Waltz with Bashir

Art Direction
Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Duchess
Revolutionary Road

Will Win: The Dark Knight
Should Win: Changeling

Cinematography
Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Reader
Slumdog Millionaire
 
Will Win: Slumdog Millionaire
Should Win: The Reader

Costume Design
Australia
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Duchess
Milk
Revolutionary Road
 
Should Win: Revolutionary Road
Will Win: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Documentary Feature
The Betrayal (Nerakhoon)
Encounters at the End of the World
The Garden
Man on Wire
Trouble the Water

Editing
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Frost/Nixon
Milk
Slumdog Millionaire

Should Win: Slumdog Millionaire
Will Win: The Dark Knight

Best Foreign Language Film
The Baader Meinhof Complex
The Class
Departures
Austria
Waltz with Bashir

Should Win: Waltz with Bashir
Will Win: Waltz with Bashir

Makeup
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Hellboy II: The Golden Army

Should Win: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Will Win: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Original Score
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - Alexandre Desplat
Defiance - James Newton Howard
Milk - Danny Elfman
Slumdog Millionaire - A.R. Rahman
WALL-E - Thomas Newman

Should Win: Slumdog Millionaire
Will Win: Slumdog Millionaire

Original Song
WALL-E - "Down to Earth"
Slumdog Millionaire - "Jai Ho"
Slumdog Millionaire - "O Saya"

Should Win: Slumdog Millionaire "Jai Ho"
Will Win: Slumdog Millionaire "Jai Ho"

Visual Effects
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Iron Man

Should Win: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Will Win: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

_____________________________

Apes had it worked out. No ape would philosphise "The mountain is, and is not". The ape would think "The banana is. I will eat the banana. There is no banana. I want another banana"

SAVE THE KAKAPO!

Apr 09 Of Time and the City (2008)
May 09 Invisible Man (1933)
Jun 09 You, The Living (2007)
Jul 09 Watchmaker of St Paul (1974)
Aug 09 An Actor's Revenge (1963)
Sep 09 A Canterbury Tale (1944)
Oct 09 Up (2009)

(in reply to elab49)
Post #: 11
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 21/2/2009 11:15:44 AM   
elab49


Posts: 17957
Joined: 1/10/2005
Chips_Ahoy
 
Best Film
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Frost/Nixon
Milk
The Reader
Slumdog Millionaire

Director
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - David Fincher
Frost/Nixon - Ron Howard
Milk - Gus Van Sant
The Reader - Stephen Daldry
Slumdog Millionaire - Danny Boyle

Actor In A Leading Role
The Visitor - Richard Jenkins
Frost/Nixon - Frank Langella
Milk - Sean Penn
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button -
Brad Pitt
The Wrestler - Mickey Rourke

Actor In A Supporting Role
Milk - Josh Brolin
Tropic Thunder - Robert Downey Jr.
Doubt - Philip Seymour Hoffman
The Dark Knight - Heath Ledger
Revolutionary Road - Michael Shannon

Actress In A Leading Role
Rachel Getting Married - Anne Hathaway
Changeling - Angelina Jolie
Frozen River - Melissa Leo
Doubt - Meryl Streep
The Reader - Kate Winslet

Actress In A Supporting Role
Doubt - Amy Adams
Vicky Cristina Barcelona - Penélope Cruz
Doubt - Viola Davis
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - Taraji P. Henson
The Wrestler - Marisa Tomei

Adapted Screenplay
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - Eric Roth, Robin Swicord
Doubt - John Patrick Shanley
Frost/Nixon - Peter Morgan
The Reader - David Hare
Slumdog Millionaire - Simon Beaufoy

Original Screenplay
Frozen River - Courtney Hunt
Happy-Go-Lucky - Mike Leigh
In Bruges - Martin McDonagh
Milk - Dustin Lance Black
WALL-E - Andrew Stanton, Jim Reardon, Pete Docter

Animated Feature
Bolt
Kung Fu Panda
WALL-E

Art Direction
Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Duchess
Revolutionary Road

Cinematography
Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Reader
Slumdog Millionaire

Costume Design
Australia
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Duchess
Milk
Revolutionary Road

Documentary Feature
The Betrayal (Nerakhoon)
Encounters at the End of the World
The Garden
Man on Wire
Trouble the Water

Editing
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Frost/Nixon
Milk
Slumdog Millionaire

Best Foreign Language Film
The Baader Meinhof Complex
The Class
Departures
Austria
Waltz with Bashir

Makeup
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Hellboy II: The Golden Army

Original Score
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - Alexandre Desplat
Defiance - James Newton Howard
Milk - Danny Elfman
Slumdog Millionaire - A.R. Rahman
WALL-E - Thomas Newman

Original Song
WALL-E - "Down to Earth"
Slumdog Millionaire - "Jai Ho"
Slumdog Millionaire - "O Saya"

Visual Effects
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Iron Man

_____________________________

Apes had it worked out. No ape would philosphise "The mountain is, and is not". The ape would think "The banana is. I will eat the banana. There is no banana. I want another banana"

SAVE THE KAKAPO!

Apr 09 Of Time and the City (2008)
May 09 Invisible Man (1933)
Jun 09 You, The Living (2007)
Jul 09 Watchmaker of St Paul (1974)
Aug 09 An Actor's Revenge (1963)
Sep 09 A Canterbury Tale (1944)
Oct 09 Up (2009)

(in reply to elab49)
Post #: 12
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 21/2/2009 5:54:28 PM   
FritzlFan


Posts: 1774
Joined: 19/11/2008
From: Bristol
 It would be easier to post my first and final prediction here.


Best Film
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Frost/Nixon
Milk
The Reader
Slumdog Millionaire

Should Win: Slumdog Millionaire
Should Be Nominated: The Wrestler, Changeling

Director
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - David Fincher
Frost/Nixon - Ron Howard
Milk - Gus Van Sant
The Reader - Stephen Daldry
Slumdog Millionaire - Danny Boyle

Should Win: Danny Boyle
Should Be Nominated: Sam Mendes (Revolutionary Road), Darren Aranofsky (The Wrestler), Christopher Nolan (The Dark Knight).

Actor In A Leading Role
The Visitor - Richard Jenkins
Frost/Nixon - Frank Langella
Milk - Sean Penn
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button -
Brad Pitt
The Wrestler - Mickey Rourke

Should Win: Mickey Rourke
Should Be Nominated: Benicio Del Toro (Che), Leonardo DiCaprio (Revolutionary Road)

Actor In A Supporting Role
Milk - Josh Brolin
Tropic Thunder - Robert Downey Jr.
Doubt - Philip Seymour Hoffman
The Dark Knight - Heath Ledger
Revolutionary Road - Michael Shannon
 
Should Win: Heath Ledger/Josh Brolin

Actress In A Leading Role
Rachel Getting Married - Anne Hathaway
Changeling - Angelina Jolie
Frozen River - Melissa Leo
Doubt - Meryl Streep
The Reader - Kate Winslet

Should Win: Kate Winslet
Should Be There: Kate Winslet (Revolutionary Road)


Actress In A Supporting Role
Doubt - Amy Adams
Vicky Cristina Barcelona - Penélope Cruz
Doubt - Viola Davis
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - Taraji P. Henson
The Wrestler - Marisa Tomei


Adapted Screenplay
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - Eric Roth, Robin Swicord
Doubt - John Patrick Shanley
Frost/Nixon - Peter Morgan
The Reader - David Hare
Slumdog Millionaire - Simon Beaufoy


Original Screenplay
Frozen River - Courtney Hunt
Happy-Go-Lucky - Mike Leigh
In Bruges - Martin McDonagh
Milk - Dustin Lance Black
WALL-E - Andrew Stanton, Jim Reardon, Pete Docter

Should Win: Milk


Animated Feature
Bolt
Kung Fu Panda
WALL-E
 
Should Win: Wall-E


Art Direction
Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Duchess
Revolutionary Road

Should Win: Changeling


Cinematography
Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Reader
Slumdog Millionaire
 
Should Win: Benjamin Button


Costume Design
Australia
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Duchess
Milk
Revolutionary Road
 
Should Win: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button


Documentary Feature
The Betrayal (Nerakhoon)
Encounters at the End of the World
The Garden
Man on Wire
Trouble the Water

Editing
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Frost/Nixon
Milk
Slumdog Millionaire

Should Win: The Dark Knight


Best Foreign Language Film
The Baader Meinhof Complex
The Class
Departures
Austria
Waltz with Bashir



Makeup
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Hellboy II: The Golden Army

Should Win: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button


Original Score
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - Alexandre Desplat
Defiance - James Newton Howard
Milk - Danny Elfman
Slumdog Millionaire - A.R. Rahman
WALL-E - Thomas Newman

Should Win: Slumdog Millionaire
Should be nominated: Changeling


Original Song
WALL-E - "Down to Earth"
Slumdog Millionaire - "Jai Ho"
Slumdog Millionaire - "O Saya"

Should Win: WALL-E
Should be nominated: Sir Bruce Springsteen MBE


Visual Effects
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Iron Man

Should Win: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

< Message edited by FritzlFan -- 22/2/2009 7:30:50 PM >

_____________________________

Rapid Response Director of the 'Get Carlton Banks a TV Spin-off' Association.

"...shades of Terry Sheddingham."

(in reply to elab49)
Post #: 13
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 22/2/2009 12:13:50 AM   
adambatman82


Posts: 5453
Joined: 15/12/2005
From: Leeds
 the girlfriend and i have just done mine for my blog, i figured i would also post them here too. we followed the should/will/should have been nominated route for the most part -

best actor -

bethan;
should- mickey rourke- the wrestler
will- mickey rourke- the wrestler
nom- benicio del toro- che

adam;
should- mickey rourke- the wrestler
will- mickey rourke- the wrestler
nom- leonardo dicaprio- revolutionary road


actor in a supporting role -

bethan;
should- heath ledger- the dark knight (tis the only one she's seen)
will- heath ledger- the dark knight
nom- michael kelly- changeling

adam;
should- philip seymour hoffman
will- heath ledger- the dark knight
nom- jason butler harner- changeling


best actress-

bethan;
should- meryl streep- doubt
will- kate winslet- the reader

adam;
should- angelina jolie- changeling
will- kate winslet- the reader
nom- cate blanchett- the curious case of benjamin button

best supporting actress-

bethan;
should- marisa tomei- the wrestler
will- amy adams- doubt

adam;
should- marisa tomei- the wrestler
will- amy adams- doubt
nom- kate winslett- the reader (i still stand by the fact that this was a supporting role, in context if not length)


animated film -

bethan;
wall-e

adam;
wall-e


best foreign film

bethan;
the baader meinhoff complex

adam;
the class


direction

bethan;
should- danny boyle-slumdog millionaire
will- danny boyle-slumdog millionaire
nom- darren aranofsky- the wrestler/ steven soderberg-che

adam;
should- david fincher- the curious case of benjamin button
will- david fincher- the curious case of benjamin button
nom- darren aranofsky- the wrestler/ clint eastwood-changeling


film-

bethan;
should- the curious case of benjamin button
will-slumdog millionaire
nom- changeling/the wrestler

adam;
should- the curious case of benjamin button
will- slumdog millionaire
nom- changeling/the wrestler/doubt/revolutionary road



< Message edited by adambatman82 -- 22/2/2009 12:16:12 AM >

_____________________________

Hope Lies at 24 Frames Per Second
www.hopelies.com

"A negative judgment gives you more satisfaction than praise, provided it smacks of jealousy."
Jean Baudrillard

(in reply to elab49)
Post #: 14
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 22/2/2009 12:33:07 AM   
124Crest


Posts: 119
Joined: 13/2/2009
From: 4 8 15 16 23 42
 Best Picture -
Should: Milk
Will: Slumdog
Nom: The Wrestler and TDK for The Reader and Frost/Nixon

Best Director -
Should: Danny Boyle (Slumdog Millionaire)
Will: Danny Boyle (Slumdog Millionaire) 
Nom: Chrisopher Nolan (TDK) and Darren Arofonsky (Wrestler) for Steven Daltry and Ron Howard
 
Best Actor -
Should - Mickey Rourke (The Wrestler)
Will - Mickey Rourke (The Wrestler
Nom - Benicio Del Toro (Che Pt 1) for Richard Jenkins (Visitor)

Best Actress -
Will - Kate Winslet (The Reader)
Should - Angelina Jolie (Changeling)

Best Supporting Actor -
Should - Heath Ledger (The Dark Knight)
Will - Ledger (TDK)

Best Supporting Actress -
Should - Penelope Cruz (Vicki Cristina Barcelona)
Will - Penelope Cruz (VCB)

Best Original Screenplay -
Should - Milk
Will - Milk

Best Adapted Screenplay -
Should - Curious Case Of Benjamin Button
Will - Slumdog

Best Animated Film -
Should- Wall-E
Will- Wall-E
Nom- Persepolis and Waltz With Bashir for Kung Fu Panda and Bolt

Best Foreign Film
Should - Waltz with bashir
Will - Waltz with bashir
Nom - Gommorah

Best Cinematography
Will and Should - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button 

Best Sound Mixing -
Will and should - Wall-E

Best Visual Effects -
Will and Should - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button


Best Make Up -
Will and Should -  The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

Best Documentary -
Will and Should - Man on Wire



_____________________________

Quote of the week: ''Its not about Donkey Kong anymore'' - Steve Weibe (The King Of Kong)

- Ash nazg durbatulûk, ash nazg gimbatul, ash nazg thrakatulûk, agh burzum-ishi krimpatul -


(in reply to adambatman82)
Post #: 15
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 22/2/2009 5:03:22 AM   
Gimli The Dwarf


Posts: 57921
Joined: 30/9/2005
From: 62 West Wallaby Street
Prediction
Want to win


Best Actor
Richard Jenkins - THE VISITOR
Frank Langella - FROST/NIXON
Sean Penn - MILK
Brad Pitt - THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
Mickey Rourke - THE WRESTLER

Supporting Actor
Josh Brolin - MILK
Robert Downey Jr. - TROPIC THUNDER
Philip Seymour Hoffman - DOUBT
Heath Ledger - THE DARK KNIGHT
Michael Shannon - REVOLUTIONARY ROAD

Best Actress
Anne Hathaway - RACHEL GETTING MARRIED
Angelina Jolie - CHANGELING
Melissa Leo - FROZEN RIVER
Meryl Streep - DOUBT
Kate Winslet - THE READER

Best Supporting Actress - Don't really have an opinion on this one
Amy Adams - DOUBT
Penélope Cruz - VICKY CRISTINA BARCELONA
Viola Davis - DOUBT
Taraji P. Henson - THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
Marisa Tomei - THE WRESTLER


Animated Feature
BOLT
KUNG FU PANDA
WALL-E - Heads will roll if it doesn't!

Art Direction
CHANGELING
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
THE DARK KNIGHT
THE DUCHESS
REVOLUTIONARY ROAD

Cinematography
CHANGELING
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
THE DARK KNIGHT
THE READER
SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE

Costume Design
AUSTRALIA
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
THE DUCHESS
MILK
REVOLUTIONARY ROAD

Directing
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
FROST/NIXON
MILK
THE READER
SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE


Documentary Feature - Haven't seen any
THE BETRAYAL (NERAKHOON)
ENCOUNTERS AT THE END OF THE WORLD
THE GARDEN
MAN ON WIRE
TROUBLE THE WATER

Documentary Short - Ditto, random guess
THE CONSCIENCE OF NHEM EN
THE FINAL INCH
SMILE PINKI
THE WITNESS - FROM THE BALCONY OF ROOM 306

Film Editing
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
THE DARK KNIGHT
FROST/NIXON
MILK
SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE

Foreign Language Film
THE BAADER MEINHOF COMPLEX
THE CLASS
DEPARTURES
REVANCHE
WALTZ WITH BASHIR

Makeup
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
THE DARK KNIGHT
HELLBOY II: THE GOLDEN ARMY


Music (Score)
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
DEFIANCE
MILK
SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE
WALL-E

Music (song)
"Down to Earth" - WALL-E
"Jai Ho" - SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE
"O Saya" - SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE

Best Picture
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
FROST/NIXON
MILK
THE READER
SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE

Short Film (Animated)
LA MAISON EN PETITS CUBES
LAVATORY - LOVESTORY
OKTAPODI
PRESTO
THIS WAY UP

Short Film (Live Action) - Random guess
AUF DER STRECKE (ON THE LINE)
MANON ON THE ASPHALT
NEW BOY
THE PIG
SPIELZEUGLAND (TOYLAND)

Sound Editing
THE DARK KNIGHT
IRON MAN
SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE
WALL-E
WANTED

Sound Mixing - What's the difference between the above and this?
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
THE DARK KNIGHT
SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE
WALL-E
WANTED

Visual Effects
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
THE DARK KNIGHT
IRON MAN

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON
DOUBT
FROST/NIXON
THE READER
SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE

Writing (Original Screenplay)
FROZEN RIVER
HAPPY-GO-LUCKY
IN BRUGES
MILK
WALL-E

_____________________________

Gromit, I've got a bomb in my pants! Help me, Gromit! Do something!

Jerry, if this guy's still here in the morning, why don't we get some shovels and bury him in the parking lot?

Can I be a suspect again? Please?

Much more better!

Glorious Senior Senator of the Greek Senate

(in reply to 124Crest)
Post #: 16
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 22/2/2009 10:12:27 AM   
Pigeon Army


Posts: 6913
Joined: 29/1/2006
From: Pixar HQ, George Lucas' Office.
 Will win
Want to win

FILM
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Frost/Nixon
Milk
The Reader
Slumdog Millionaire
Should be nommed: The Dark Knight (sub for The Reader), Wall-E (sub for The Curious Case of Benjamin Button), In Bruges (sub for Milk), The Visitor (sub for Frost/Nixon)

Director
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - David Fincher
Frost/Nixon - Ron Howard
Milk - Gus Van Sant
The Reader - Stephen Daldry
Slumdog Millionaire - Danny Boyle
Should be nommed: The Dark Knight - Christopher Nolan (sub for Daldry)

ACTOR
Richard Jenkins - The Visitor
Frank Langella - Frost/Nixon
Sean Penn - Milk
Brad Pitt - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler
Should be nominated: Leonardo DiCaprio - Revolutionary Road (sub for Pitt)

SUPPORTING ACTOR
Josh Brolin - Milk
Robert Downey Jr. - Tropic Thunder
Philip Seymour Hoffman - Doubt
Heath Ledger - THE DARK KNIGHT
Michael Shannon - Revolutionary Road
Should be nommed: Brendan Gleeson - In Bruges (sub for Brolin)

ACTRESS
Anne Hathaway - Rachel Getting Married
Angelina Jolie - Changeling
Melissa Leo - Frozen River
Meryl Streep - Doubt
Kate Winslet - The Reader
Don't know who should win.
Should be nommed: Cate Blanchett - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (sub for Streep)

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Amy Adams - Doubt
Penélope Cruz - Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis - Doubt
Taraji P. Henson - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Marisa Tomei - The Wrestler
Should be nommed: Honestly don't know.

ANIMATED
Bolt
Kung Fu Panda
Wall-E
Should be nommed: Waltz With Bashir

ART DIRECTION
Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Duchess
Revolutionary Road
Should be nommed: Vicky Cristina Barcelona (sub for The Duchess)

CINEMATOGRAPHY
Changeling
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
The Reader
Slumdog Millionaire
Should be nommed: In Bruges (sub for The Reader)

COSTUME DESIGN
Australia
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Duchess
Milk
Revolutionary Road
Should be nommed: The Dark Knight (sub for Milk)

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
The Betrayal (Nerakhoon)
Encounters at the End of the World
The Garden
Man on Wire
Trouble the Water
Do not know who should win.
Should be nommed: Can't say.

DOCUMENTARY SHORT
The Conscience of Nhem Eh
The Final Inch
Smile Pinki
The Witness - From The Balcony of Room 306
Don't know who should win.
Should be nommed: Can't say.

EDITING
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Frost/Nixon
Milk
Slumdog Millionaire
Should be nommed: Revolutionary Road (sub for Milk)

Best Foreign Language Film
The Baader Meinhof Complex
The Class
Departures
Austria
Waltz with Bashir
Do not know who should win.
Should be nommed: Can't say.

MAKE-UP
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Hellboy II: The Golden Army
Should be nommed: Tropic Thunder

ORIGINAL SCORE
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - Alexandre Desplat
Defiance - James Newton Howard
Milk - Danny Elfman
Slumdog Millionaire - A.R. Rahman
WALL-E - Thomas Newman
Should be nommed: The Visitor - Jan A.P. Kaczmarek

ORIGINAL SONG
WALL-E - "Down to Earth"
Slumdog Millionaire - "Jai Ho"
Slumdog Millionaire - "O Saya"
Should be nommed: Can't say.

VISUAL EFFECTS
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Iron Man
Should be nommed: Hellboy II: The Golden Army (sub for Iron Man)

SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)
La Maison En Petits Cubes
Lavatory - Lovestory
Oktapodi
Presto
This Way Up
Should be nommed: Can't say.

SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION)
Auf Der Strecke (On The Line)
Manon on the Asphalt
New Boy
The Pig
Spielzeugland (Toyland)
Don't know who should win.
Should be nommed: Can't say.

SOUND EDITING
The Dark Knight
Iron Man
Slumdog Millionaire
Wall-E
Wanted
Should be nommed: Hellboy II: The Golden Army (sub for Wanted)

SOUND MIXING
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The Dark Knight
Slumdog Millionaire
Wall-E
Wanted
Should be nommed: Don't know.

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - Eric Roth, Robin Swicord
Doubt - John Patrick Shanley
Frost/Nixon - Peter Morgan
The Reader - David Hare
Slumdog Millionaire - Simon Beaufoy
Should be nommed: The Dark Knight - Jonathon Nolan and Christopher Nolan (sub for The Reader)

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Frozen River - Courtney Hunt
Happy-Go-Lucky - Mike Leigh
In Bruges - Martin McDonagh
Milk - Dustin Lance Black
WALL-E - Andrew Stanton, Jim Reardon, Pete Docter
Should be nommed: The Visitor - Thomas McCarthy (sub for Milk)


_____________________________

PA's a moderator now? Scary. Now what the teenager says actually might have some credibility. I guess if you post enough in this forum and you ramble on enough, you too can become a mod. Overlords? Over what? an internet forum wow, you're real special. - JoeyPottr, hitting new mods with some knowledge.

Proud President of the 'Get Carlton Banks a TV Spin-off' Association.

Film of the Week - Gattaca (1997, Niccol)

(in reply to Gimli The Dwarf)
Post #: 17
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 22/2/2009 10:47:42 AM   
Dave B


Posts: 2689
Joined: 30/9/2005
From: Southampton
 My list elab posted are my predictions. Here's who I feel should win and who should have been nominated:

Best Picture
Should Win - Slumdog Millionaire
Should have been nominated - Hunger

Best Director
SW - Danny Boyle
SHBN - Steve McQueen (Hunger)

Best Actor
SW - Mickey Rourke
SHBN - Michael Fassbender (Hunger)

Best Actress
SW - Angelina Jolie
SHBN - Belen Rueda (The Orphanage)

Best Supporting Actor
SW - Heath Ledger
SHBN - Brendon Gleeson (In Bruges)

Animated Film
SW - Wall-E
SHBN - Waltz With Bashir (I would say the animation is more important than it being a foreign film or a documentary)

Art Direction
SW - Changeling
SHBN - Hellboy II

Cinematography
SW - Slumdog Millionaire
SHBN - Waltz With Bashir (not sure if animation is technically cinematography but the look of the film is stunning and unlike anything I've ever seen)

Costume Design
SW - Revolutionary Road - Don't really care tbh, its a pretty dull list
SHBN - Hellboy II

Editing
SW - Slumdog Millionaire
SHBN - Hunger

Foreign Language Film
SW - Waltz With Bashir
SHBN - The Orphanage

Makeup
SW - Hellboy II
SHBN - W.

Music (Score)
SW - Slumdog Millionaire
SHBN - The Orphanage

Music (Song)
SW - O Saya
SHBN - The Wrestler (Bruce Springsteen)

Sound Editing - WTF is this?
SW - Don't care
SHBN - Don't care

Sound Mixing - Surely the same as sound editing? Why is there two categories for the same thing and no Best Ensemble nomination?
SW - Wall-E
SHBN - The Orphanage

Visual Effects
SW - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
SHBN - Hellboy II

Adapted Screenplay
SW - Slumdog Millionaire
SHBN - Hellboy II

Original Screenplay
SW - In Bruges
SHBN - Son of Rambow


_____________________________

Hey, what's with the flying jerks?

(in reply to Pigeon Army)
Post #: 18
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 22/2/2009 3:49:13 PM   
elab49


Posts: 17957
Joined: 1/10/2005
Picture
Should win: Slumdog Millionnaire
Will win: Slumdog Millionnaire
Should have been nominated: an awful lot of better films?

Director
Should win: Danny Boyle
Will win: Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionnaire
Should have been nominated: See best picture

Actor:
Should win: Richard Jenkins
Will win: Frank Langella.
Should have been nominated: Colin Farrell/Brendan Gleeson in In Bruges, Toni Servillo in Gomorrah

Actress
Should win: Melissa Leo
Will win: Worrying. Are there enough apparently listening to the poor wee me campaign for Streep emphasising how long since she has won? On that basis I can only hope Winslet gets an undeserved Oscar for her lesser performance this year – she was far superior in Revolutionary Road – Winslet.
Should have been nominated: Kristin Scott Thomas I’ve Loved You So Long should not only be nominated but should have won.

Normally support are really strong categories but they are very weak this year with nominations for good acting but in roles that last barely minutes, or for roles that don’t deserve recognition at all. Unfortunately I think an unremarkable performance will win supporting actress.
 
Supporting Actor:
Should win: n/a
Will win: Heath Ledger
Should have been nominated: Eddie Marsan, Happy-Go-Lucky (and should have won)

Supporting Actress
Should win: From a poor selection Davis’s was the best performance but really not enough for a nomination, surely?
Will win: Henson – and if she does she’ll be one of the least deserving of the night.
Should have been nominated: Misty Upham in Frozen River or Elsie Zylberstein –I’ve Loved You So Long

Original Screenplay
Should win: In Bruges
Will win: Milk

Adapted Screenplay
Should win: Slumdog Millionaire
Will win: Slumdog Millionaire
Should have been nominated: I agree with Rawlinson here. Reader and Doubt are bad, Frost/Nixon isn’t even really adapted, and the link between Button and the story is virtually non-existent (not that it is good enough for original either). Revolutionary Road might have been in here for a brave attempt. 


Cinematography
Should win: Slumdog
Will win: Slumdog
Should have been nominated: Numerous
 
Editing
Should win: Slumdog
Will win: Slumdog

Art Direction
Should win: Changeling
Will win: Changeling
Should have been nominated: Hellboy II

Costume Design
Should win: Revolutionary Road
Will win: Revolutionary Road


Make-Up
Should win: Hellboy II
Will win: Hellboy II
 
Did Button have make-up? If they mean Blanchett’s aging, it wasn’t that great. 

Best Score
Should win: Slumdog
Will win: Slumdog

Best Song
Should win: Not a particular fan of any of them
Will win: Jai-Ho/Slumdog
Should have been nominated: Springsteen for The Wrestler/Elfman for Wanted

Sound
Should win: Slumdog
Will win: Slumdog

Sound Editing
Should win: The Dark Knight
Will win: The Dark Knight

Visual Effects
Should win: Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Will win: Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Should have been nominated: Hellboy 2 (and won, hell yes!)
 
Animated Film
 
Wouldn’t it be funny if Kung Fu Panda won? Wall-E is almost fatally flawed with suddenly trying to please the kids half way through (news from my nephew – it didn’t work). At least Kung Fu Panda is true to itself. Is Ponyo not eligible this year?
Should win: Wall-E
Will win: Wall-E
 
Foreign Film
Odd one really. I don’t think Bashir is perfect, and I do want to say The Class but I tend to think one of the reasons that Gomorrah wasn’t nominated relates to its similar storytelling to The Wire. And The Class kind of reminds me of S4 of The Wire and my head keeps telling me it will suffer for it. Still to see Departures which I can’t seem to find anywhere.
Should win: The Class
Will win: The Class.
Should have been nominated: From the longlist that I’ve seen Gomorrah

Documentary
Should win: Man On Wire
Will win: Man On Wire

Documentary Short
Guessing time
Will win: The Witness From The Balcony Of Room 306 (assuming this is something to do with the murder of Martin Luther King?)

Animated Short
I have only seen clips of La Maison en Petits Cubes and I think the whole might well be my winner. But, in lieu of that, and as Burn-E is better than Presto IMO
Should win: This Way Up
Will win: This Way Up
Should have been nominated – Burn-E

Live Action Short
Will win: Toyland

Somewhat inevitably this is a shoe-in being the Holocaust one.

_____________________________

Apes had it worked out. No ape would philosphise "The mountain is, and is not". The ape would think "The banana is. I will eat the banana. There is no banana. I want another banana"

SAVE THE KAKAPO!

Apr 09 Of Time and the City (2008)
May 09 Invisible Man (1933)
Jun 09 You, The Living (2007)
Jul 09 Watchmaker of St Paul (1974)
Aug 09 An Actor's Revenge (1963)
Sep 09 A Canterbury Tale (1944)
Oct 09 Up (2009)

(in reply to Dave B)
Post #: 19
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 22/2/2009 4:13:20 PM   
Neth


Posts: 4558
Joined: 3/10/2005
Picture

Should be: Slumdog Millionaire
Will be: Slumdog Millionaire
You appear to have dropped: The Dark Knight. Haters be damned.


Director

Should be: Danny Boyle.
Will be: Danny Boyle.
You appear to have dropped: Nolan instead of Dreary Daldrey, please.


Actor

Should be: Sean Penn. Or maybe Richard Jenkins.
Will be: Mickey Rourke
You appear to have dropped: Michael Fassbender.


Actress

Should be: Anne Hathaway. Great performance in a shitty movie.
Will be: Kate Winslet.
You appear to have dropped: Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road. If she's going to win, at least make it for the right movie.


Supporting Actor

Should be: Ledger.
Will be: Ledger.
You appear to have dropped: James Franco for Milk. The big heart of that film.


Supporting Actress

Should be: Marisa Tomei.
Will be: Penelope Cruz.
You appear to have dropped: Rebecca Hall, Vicky Cristina Barcelona.


Original Screenplay

Should be: Dustin Lance Black, Milk.
Will be: Probably Wall-E.
You appear to have dropped: Charlie Kaufman, Synedoche, New York


Adapted Screenplay

Should be: Simon Beaufoy, Slumdog Millionaire
Will be: Simon Beaufoy, Slumdog Millionaire
You appear to have dropped: Justin Haythe, Revolutionary Road.


Animated Feature

Should be: Wall-E
Will be: Wall-E
You appear to have dropped: No, they pretty much nailed it, although Bashir instead of Bolt would make me happier.


Foreign Language

Should be: Waltz With Bashir
Will be: The Class
You appear to have dropped: Let the Right One In.


Best Documentary

Should be: Man on Wire
Will be: Man on Wire
You appear to have dropped: Again, can't think of anything other than Bashir that belongs here.



< Message edited by Neth -- 22/2/2009 4:14:17 PM >

_____________________________

"You taste like a burger. I don't like you anymore."

(in reply to elab49)
Post #: 20
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 22/2/2009 4:24:08 PM   
Dave B


Posts: 2689
Joined: 30/9/2005
From: Southampton
quote:

ORIGINAL: elab49

Foreign Film
Odd one really. I don't think Bashir is perfect, and I do want to say The Class but I tend to think one of the reasons that Gomorrah wasn't nominated relates to its similar storytelling to The Wire. And The Class kind of reminds me of S4 of The Wire and my head keeps telling me it will suffer for it. Still to see Departures which I can't seem to find anywhere.
Should win: The Class
Will win: The Class.
Should have been nominated: From the longlist that I've seen Gomorrah

I'm watching season 4 of The Wire at the moment and as soon as I saw the trailer for The Class I thought it looked pretty similar.

Dr. Horrible should be been nominated for Best Short Film.


_____________________________

Hey, what's with the flying jerks?

(in reply to elab49)
Post #: 21
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 22/2/2009 5:09:50 PM   
elab49


Posts: 17957
Joined: 1/10/2005
quote:

ORIGINAL: Dave B

Dr. Horrible should be been nominated for Best Short Film.



Wouldn't that have been fantastic?

_____________________________

Apes had it worked out. No ape would philosphise "The mountain is, and is not". The ape would think "The banana is. I will eat the banana. There is no banana. I want another banana"

SAVE THE KAKAPO!

Apr 09 Of Time and the City (2008)
May 09 Invisible Man (1933)
Jun 09 You, The Living (2007)
Jul 09 Watchmaker of St Paul (1974)
Aug 09 An Actor's Revenge (1963)
Sep 09 A Canterbury Tale (1944)
Oct 09 Up (2009)

(in reply to Dave B)
Post #: 22
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 22/2/2009 6:07:34 PM   
rawlinson


Posts: 7106
Joined: 13/6/2008
quote:

ORIGINAL: elab49

Wouldn't it be funny if Kung Fu Panda won?


No, because I would be forced to set fire to Sid Ganis' beard if a crime that abominable happened.

I honestly think there's a few way they could make themselves look ridiculous tonight. Wins for Kung Fu Panda, Streep, Frost/Nixon or The Reader are among them. Although some of the advance word coming out for the ceremony itself is indicating this could be a fuck-up on the scale of Rob Lowe/Snow White. Something about the ceremony having a narrative and rumours of Beyonce and Zak Efron singing. I really hope they're not true.

_____________________________

The Americans are having a war on terror. They won't win because an abstract noun can't surrender.

(in reply to elab49)
Post #: 23
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 22/2/2009 6:43:03 PM   
elab49


Posts: 17957
Joined: 1/10/2005
I read something about possibly Anne Hathaway coming out singing, too? Hopefully it is just because they've got a musical theatre presenter they are worrying too much.

I should possibly have considered a couple of other aspects for my choices though - it isn't just the Holocaustyness of The Reader that might get it votes - is sentiment for Minghella and Pollack enough to push it up the list too? Also - Lumet jr. Martin McDonagh should have walked that category. I'll understand if they give it to Milk as a bigger film (but using someone who isn't good at writing's speeches as a basis is a problem in the film IMO), but giving it to something as problematically written as Rachel can only scream nepotism.

< Message edited by elab49 -- 22/2/2009 6:44:52 PM >

_____________________________

Apes had it worked out. No ape would philosphise "The mountain is, and is not". The ape would think "The banana is. I will eat the banana. There is no banana. I want another banana"

SAVE THE KAKAPO!

Apr 09 Of Time and the City (2008)
May 09 Invisible Man (1933)
Jun 09 You, The Living (2007)
Jul 09 Watchmaker of St Paul (1974)
Aug 09 An Actor's Revenge (1963)
Sep 09 A Canterbury Tale (1944)
Oct 09 Up (2009)

(in reply to rawlinson)
Post #: 24
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 22/2/2009 7:03:17 PM   
124Crest


Posts: 119
Joined: 13/2/2009
From: 4 8 15 16 23 42
  

Eddie Marson and Richard Jenkins deserve the BSA and BA award ahead of Ledger and Rourke/Penn/Langella? really?
and In Bruges deserves the BOS ahead of Milk/Wall-E?



_____________________________

Quote of the week: ''Its not about Donkey Kong anymore'' - Steve Weibe (The King Of Kong)

- Ash nazg durbatulûk, ash nazg gimbatul, ash nazg thrakatulûk, agh burzum-ishi krimpatul -


(in reply to elab49)
Post #: 25
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 22/2/2009 7:14:09 PM   
elab49


Posts: 17957
Joined: 1/10/2005
Is that directed at me? (Apologies if not - I'm not the only one who has included those entries but I think I might be the only one with all in one go).

If so then yes. Really.



_____________________________

Apes had it worked out. No ape would philosphise "The mountain is, and is not". The ape would think "The banana is. I will eat the banana. There is no banana. I want another banana"

SAVE THE KAKAPO!

Apr 09 Of Time and the City (2008)
May 09 Invisible Man (1933)
Jun 09 You, The Living (2007)
Jul 09 Watchmaker of St Paul (1974)
Aug 09 An Actor's Revenge (1963)
Sep 09 A Canterbury Tale (1944)
Oct 09 Up (2009)

(in reply to 124Crest)
Post #: 26
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 22/2/2009 11:24:19 PM   
rawlinson


Posts: 7106
Joined: 13/6/2008
quote:

ORIGINAL: elab49

I read something about possibly Anne Hathaway coming out singing, too? Hopefully it is just because they've got a musical theatre presenter they are worrying too much. 


I think it's also part of Bill Condon's plan to revamp the Oscars. I want Dreamgirls Bill Condon to go away and Gods And Monsters Bill Condon to come back.

quote:

  I should possibly have considered a couple of other aspects for my choices though - it isn't just the Holocaustyness of The Reader that might get it votes - is sentiment for Minghella and Pollack enough to push it up the list too?


Yes. It also has the backing of Harvey Weinstein.

quote:

  Also - Lumet jr. Martin McDonagh should have walked that category. I'll understand if they give it to Milk as a bigger film (but using someone who isn't good at writing's speeches as a basis is a problem in the film IMO), but giving it to something as problematically written as Rachel can only scream nepotism.



If Rachel Getting Married gets the screenplay Oscar I'll be astonished. Mainly because it wasn't nominated.

_____________________________

The Americans are having a war on terror. They won't win because an abstract noun can't surrender.

(in reply to elab49)
Post #: 27
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 22/2/2009 11:34:14 PM   
elab49


Posts: 17957
Joined: 1/10/2005
Oops - embarrassing. I misread a should have been nominated

_____________________________

Apes had it worked out. No ape would philosphise "The mountain is, and is not". The ape would think "The banana is. I will eat the banana. There is no banana. I want another banana"

SAVE THE KAKAPO!

Apr 09 Of Time and the City (2008)
May 09 Invisible Man (1933)
Jun 09 You, The Living (2007)
Jul 09 Watchmaker of St Paul (1974)
Aug 09 An Actor's Revenge (1963)
Sep 09 A Canterbury Tale (1944)
Oct 09 Up (2009)

(in reply to rawlinson)
Post #: 28
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 23/2/2009 12:12:57 AM   
Harry Lime


Posts: 4112
Joined: 30/9/2005
Should have been nominated: Brendan Gleason (In Bruges), Michael Sheen (Frost/ Nixon), Ralph Fiennes (The Reader), James Franco (Milk), Amy Ryan (Changeling), Kate Winslet (Revolutionary Road).

Shouldn't have been nominated: Amy Adams, Amy Adams, Amy Adams, Viola Davis, Amy Adams.

_____________________________

"People think I have an interesting walk. Hell, I'm just trying to hold my gut in."

If I get there early will it be the right time
our heaven is just waiting so put your hand into mine.

(in reply to elab49)
Post #: 29
RE: OSCARS 2009 - Will win/Should Win/Should Have Been ... - 23/2/2009 1:14:51 AM   
jackpage007

 

Posts: 3
Joined: 5/3/2006
Why hasn't 'Gran Torino' (best film this year so far) been nominated for anything at the 2009 Oscars?

Should win best film, best actor (maybe) and best direction. I feel sorry for Mr. Eastwood - it's such a good film yet a lot of people won't see it or will be dissapointed by the 'Dirty Harry' comparisons. That and 'The Wrestler' show us we don't need big budgets to tell a good story.

4 stars? Up it!

P.S. Benjamin Button will win it all - Slumdog won't even see it coming (this isn't the Golden Globes).

< Message edited by jackpage007 -- 23/2/2009 1:18:56 AM >

(in reply to Harry Lime)
Post #: 30
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