jackcarter -> 2013 Box Office Estimates (24/8/2012 3:13:13 PM)
Iron Man 3 (may3) - 400m/800m - has got to benefit from the Avengers success - dont want to say $1b but should improve big on IM2
Hobbit 2 (dec13) - US =250m /Overall WW = $800m - dont think people are that thrilled 2 films have been streched to 3 so sensing a bit of an Attack of the Clones stye drop
Superman MOS (june14) - 350m/750m - possible it could be do moderate Batman Begins numbers as its establishing a new series/take on it (which would also be similar number to Superman Returns - like 2008 action Hulk doing pretty much the same as 2003 arty Hulk) Then again its being promoted as an almost continuation of the Nolan Bat trilogy (in so far as 'from the director of TDK trilogy' on the trailers, the brooding mood, coming one summer after TDKR, using MOS title - like TDK) so audiences should go for it despite any misgiving over the previous film (not that SR was anywhere near B&R levels of disaster) so going with Amazing Spiderman numbers.
Hunger 2 (nov22) - 400m/700m - if Twilight is anything to go by, the Hunger Games sequel should be even bigger, but by much? nah
Oz (mar8)- 250m/600m - this is obviously aiming to be Alice in WL big (well loved tale, 3D, March release, quirky big name director) and it could very well be but going with almost half (Alice was riding the Avatar 3D wave)
Thor 2 (nov8) - 250m/600m - similar to IM3, Avengers should give it a boost over the first.
F&F 6 (may24) - 200m/600m - fo sho
HO III (may24) - 220m/550m - more of the same. audiences cant resist.
Star Trek Into Darkness (may17)- 300m/500m - the 1st (or 11th) was very well received so should be bigger overseas, and maybe alittle bigger in US too.
Pacific Rim (july12) - 250m/500m - should be fairly big as no TF in 2013, but as Battleship proved thats no guarantee of big numbers, but should be way better than BS though as its GDT (and has giant monstors)
After Earth (june7) - 150m/420m - an M Night film dosnt count for much these days but its got Will Smith
Jack Ryan (dec25)- 250m/400m - think it will do well - better than the last Ryan reboot (250m adjusted). strong cast/K Branagh directing & its a xmas movie. also Americans might be wanting the return of their own Bond type guy to complete with Skyfall - esp after Bournes gone AWOL.
GI Joe 2 (mar29)- 200m/400m - Weirdly pushed back from summer 12. could go either way BO wise but going with better than first as Rock/Willis/Tatum (with now extended part?)
World War Z (june21)- 200m/400m - like GI 2, got pushed to this year. read its beset by problems. everyone should be zombied out by now (seem to have been going on non stop for 10 years since PWSA/D Boyle brought them back) but then youd think everyone would be vampired out too. impressive trailer. could be even bigger (as its PG13)
Wolverine (july26) - 180m/400m - about the same as Origins (adjusted). think audiences will be more excited for XM:DOFP in 2014 though
Mad Max Fury Road (? - looks to be 2014) - 120m/370m - similar to Prometheus in a way (original director returns after 30 years to influential SF series he started with new cast and C Theron - uncertain how connected to originals it will be) so maybe do similar BO. Rating? - prob PG13 (Thunderdome was PG13)
300:Rise of an Empire (aug2)- 150m/350m - not as big as 300 as no Butler. abit like if theyd done a Gladiator prequel without Crowe (and Scott). nice Star Warsy title though (i think one of prequels maybe Ep II, was long rumoured to be titled Rise of the Empire)
Oblivion (apr12)- 150m/350m - WALLE Tom in Prometheus like landscapes wearing Mark Walbergs Planet of the Apes spacesuit and flying about in Trons ship and directed by the Tron guy. could be bigger. could be Cruise's Battlefield Earth. playing it safe with a so so estimate
DieHard 5 (feb14)- 120m/320m - will it be PG13 like 4.0 or R like 1-3? probably wont make much difference either way BO wise. But, will audiences will be that bothered? DH seems like any other BW action movie these days and there seems to be alot of them...but then it does seem to be the first big event movie of the year...
Enders Game (nov1)- 150m/300m - H Ford in another alien invasion SF movie based on a novel, directed by the Wolverine guy.i dont know about this.
Elysium (aug9) - 120m/300m - the District 9 guy with a strong cast so is expected to be very good. but again like the other original SF movies of the year abit difficult to say BO wise
Gravity (oct18) - 100m/300m - see above
Sin City 2 (oct4) -120m/300m - should be about twice as big as SC 1. everyone knows about SC now
Riddick 3 (sept6)- 120m/250m - this should be at least bigger than TCOR. maybe do even better as VD is a bigger draw now thanks to revived F&F, but will be R rated so maybe not too much
Lone Ranger (july3)- 120m/250m - think this will underperform Cowboys&Aliens/John Carter style despite Depp/Pirates director reteam. (but could be embarrassingly wrong)
Gatsby (may10)- 100m/250m - pushed from this xmas to next summer.
Jack The Giant Slayer (mar1)- 100m/250m - another fairy tale with a LOTR style make over...what decided we should have loads of Fairy Tale movies anyway? was it Alice in WL's $1b gross? (thanks to 3D)...wasnt even a FT movie!
The Tomb (sept27)- 70m/150m - the presence of 50 cent reminds me of Pacino/DeNiros Righteous Kill (would that make EXP2 Arnie and Slys Heat?)
Last Stand (jan18)- 50m/100m - Arnies comeback movie. but will audiences care? trailer seems abit STDVD. im sensing Colleteral Damage numbers,
Star Wars II & III 3D (sept/oct - scrapped?) - 50m/150m & 60m/200m - think the recent Ep VII news could impact these (Ep I 3D took 103m total)
(Robocop/All You Need is Kill - moved to 2014)
after being out by almost $1b on Avengers in the 2012 BO predictions, i wonder if any of those will be another crazy break out $b+ hit like Avengers/Skyfall? (seems to be 2-3 $b movies per year now so taking a bit of a risk saying none[:D] ) - i wouldnt rule out Superman, IM3/Thor2, Oz, or maybe one of the original SF films (After Earth, Pacific Rim, Oblivion) or even Lone Ranger (due to the heavy POTC connection)...or could it be something crazy/unthinkable like WWZ, Gatsby, Jack Ryan or Star Trek?