RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (Full Version)

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st3veebee -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (8/5/2012 3:04:10 PM)

Avengers is doing pretty astonishingly well. So much for Empires predicition (600/700 overall?)




Spaldron -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (8/5/2012 3:40:21 PM)

It'll do a billion easy, maybe even 2bn?




DancingClown -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (8/5/2012 4:03:59 PM)

Be good to see Cameron de-throned.




Rob -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (8/5/2012 4:04:39 PM)

I'm guessing $1.4 billion worldwide




Dirk Miggler -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (8/5/2012 7:35:46 PM)

Im happy the films a success but inflated ticket prices have had as bigger impact on the films gross as its popularity. 10.80 for 3D, pretty poor 3D at that.




threshold -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (9/5/2012 3:03:35 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: st3veebee

Avengers is doing pretty astonishingly well. So much for Empires predicition (600/700 overall?)


Their US opening was way off. (80 million opening) off by about.. oooohh, say 120 million?




Darth Marenghi -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (9/5/2012 3:54:17 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: threshold


quote:

ORIGINAL: st3veebee

Avengers is doing pretty astonishingly well. So much for Empires predicition (600/700 overall?)


Their US opening was way off. (80 million opening) off by about.. oooohh, say 120 million?


As William Goldman famously said, "Nobody knows anything". [:D]




Spaldron -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (13/5/2012 6:27:40 PM)

Avengers passes $1bn already.

http://www.comingsoon.net/news/movienews.php?id=90194




Rgirvan44 -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (13/5/2012 6:34:28 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Rgirvan44


(US/overall worldwide) :

Avengers - 270m/700m




LOLOLOLOLOLOL




jackcarter -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (13/5/2012 7:11:40 PM)

i know![:D]

quote:


ORIGINAL: jack carter

Avengers - 350m/750m - the allure of several superheroes in basically Iron Man 3 will make it bigger than either IMs, but cant see it touching TDKR


wonder if the last bit will come to be?




Rgirvan44 -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (13/5/2012 7:15:50 PM)

I still expect Batman to do over a billion...how far beyond that is up in the air...




Hood_Man -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (13/5/2012 9:43:45 PM)

$103 million in its second weekend [sm=52.gif]

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=avengers11.htm

[image]http://api.ning.com/files/PaAZIB51Ew02ygiCgRDQ2fj6LkJuIj*1UYjnW-XlMO*EiFbi0BuEctVxHtowM-U7hcDCYuQ3mDddDrEGU3rvPpGcRH2C9hCK/uh_wtf_gif.gif[/image]




jackcarter -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (13/5/2012 11:11:27 PM)

i bet Warners/DC are going to be fast tracking a JLA film any day now




Rob -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (15/5/2012 1:55:44 PM)

There was an in interesting piece on why TDKR won't beat the Avengers and it basically boils down to the fact the there are vastly more 3D screens than there are IMAX screens. So even if the exact same number of people saw it as the Avengers on opening weekend it wouldn't break the record.

However, as has been pointed out previously no one knows for sure but I strongly suspect that the Avengers will win the 2012 box office crown. What might help TDKR is that TDK performed well overseas but not huge. I expect it's International revenue to be far higher this time around.




Shifty Bench -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (15/5/2012 5:33:25 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Rob

There was an in interesting piece on why TDKR won't beat the Avengers and it basically boils down to the fact the there are vastly more 3D screens than there are IMAX screens. So even if the exact same number of people saw it as the Avengers on opening weekend it wouldn't break the record.


Yeah, and it also doesn't help TDKR that a lot of people are seeing Avengers more than once. If they see it in 2D, they'll then see it in 3D or vice versa. I've even heard of people seeing it in 3D more than once which is insane.




Darth Marenghi -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (15/5/2012 6:41:23 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Shifty Bench


quote:

ORIGINAL: Rob

There was an in interesting piece on why TDKR won't beat the Avengers and it basically boils down to the fact the there are vastly more 3D screens than there are IMAX screens. So even if the exact same number of people saw it as the Avengers on opening weekend it wouldn't break the record.


Yeah, and it also doesn't help TDKR that a lot of people are seeing Avengers more than once. If they see it in 2D, they'll then see it in 3D or vice versa. I've even heard of people seeing it in 3D more than once which is insane.



Soo... yay for 3D? [:D]




Cool Breeze -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (15/5/2012 8:10:11 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Shifty Bench


quote:

ORIGINAL: Rob

There was an in interesting piece on why TDKR won't beat the Avengers and it basically boils down to the fact the there are vastly more 3D screens than there are IMAX screens. So even if the exact same number of people saw it as the Avengers on opening weekend it wouldn't break the record.


Yeah, and it also doesn't help TDKR that a lot of people are seeing Avengers more than once. If they see it in 2D, they'll then see it in 3D or vice versa. I've even heard of people seeing it in 3D more than once which is insane.



I think its safe to say that a lot of people will be going to see TDKR more than once.If its as good as the previous two movies i certainly will be!

Anyone think the new Spider Man will underperform? It just doesnt seem like an event movie given that it hasnt been that long since the original trilogy and especially after the epicness of the Avengers and sure to be awesome TDKR.




Shifty Bench -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (15/5/2012 11:21:14 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Cool Breeze

quote:

ORIGINAL: Shifty Bench


quote:

ORIGINAL: Rob

There was an in interesting piece on why TDKR won't beat the Avengers and it basically boils down to the fact the there are vastly more 3D screens than there are IMAX screens. So even if the exact same number of people saw it as the Avengers on opening weekend it wouldn't break the record.


Yeah, and it also doesn't help TDKR that a lot of people are seeing Avengers more than once. If they see it in 2D, they'll then see it in 3D or vice versa. I've even heard of people seeing it in 3D more than once which is insane.



I think its safe to say that a lot of people will be going to see TDKR more than once.If its as good as the previous two movies i certainly will be!


Yeah,I wasn't denying that but it's not in 3D so it won't take as much money, which is my point [:)]

quote:

ORIGINAL: Darth Marenghi
Soo... yay for 3D?


[:D]

(I'm not a fan of 3D but it did help Avengers make a shit-load of money, so.....who knows? [:-] )




Spaldron -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (16/5/2012 12:36:48 AM)

The only film in with a chance of beating Avengers is The Hobbit and that's probably a stretch. It'll come close though but I cant see it doing $1bn in less than three weeks.




Rob -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (16/5/2012 10:07:46 AM)

I still think TDKR will out perform TDK and cross the $1 billion mark a lot quicker due in part to inflation, an increased foreign market and other factors but I don't think anybody in their right mind predicted just how big the Avengers was going to be.

I think Spider-man will do well but won't come close to troubling Bats or Stark and Co. I guess the easiest comparable would be X-men First Class.

I think the Hobbit again will do solid business and will gross over $1 billion but I don't see it being a record breaker.




spark1 -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (16/5/2012 10:19:25 AM)

'avengers' grosses overseas were huge because market for 3d overseas is still huge.




Rob -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (16/5/2012 10:41:51 AM)

Isn't it also the case that cinema's much prefer to show in 3D due to the higher prices? With the Avengers I struggled to find a cinema that was only showing it in 2D and when I did I had to leave halfway through because the kids in the screening were so bloody obnoxious. Desperate to see it I had to settle for a 3D screening the next day.




Cool Breeze -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (16/5/2012 8:25:42 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Rob

Isn't it also the case that cinema's much prefer to show in 3D due to the higher prices? With the Avengers I struggled to find a cinema that was only showing it in 2D and when I did I had to leave halfway through because the kids in the screening were so bloody obnoxious. Desperate to see it I had to settle for a 3D screening the next day.


That sucks man.Sorry to hear that.Although personaly i would not have left and complained to the management.Failing that i would told the little fuckers to shut up or else![:@]




foodfather -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (17/5/2012 1:16:56 PM)

(US/overall worldwide) :

000,000

Hobbit - 400/1200

TDKR - 490/950

Spiderman - 285/750

Avengers - 420/1250

Bond - 150/500

Promethues- 120/250

MiB 3D - 120/350

GI Joe 2 - 125m/300m

Battleship - 85/300

Snow White - 180/600

Expendables 2 - 110/325


Gatsby - 65/185 -

Looper - 50/125

Total Recall - 35/100


WWZ - 60/150

Titanic 3D - 60/380

Dredd - 35/90




Spaldron -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (17/5/2012 1:21:31 PM)

^ Some of those are waaaaaaaaaaaaaay off.




Rob -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (17/5/2012 1:36:20 PM)

For a start Avengers will cross the $420 million domestic mark by the end of this weekend and is a sure fire bet to do over $500 million probably closer to $550 - $600 million. Also I think TDKR rises will make over $1 billion worldwide with room to spare.

The others seem OK but I fancy Total Recall to be a bit of a surprise hit ala Rise of the Planet of the Apes


quote:

ORIGINAL: Cool Breeze

quote:

ORIGINAL: Rob
Isn't it also the case that cinema's much prefer to show in 3D due to the higher prices? With the Avengers I struggled to find a cinema that was only showing it in 2D and when I did I had to leave halfway through because the kids in the screening were so bloody obnoxious. Desperate to see it I had to settle for a 3D screening the next day.


That sucks man.Sorry to hear that.Although personaly i would not have left and complained to the management.Failing that i would told the little fuckers to shut up or else![:@]


I'm always wary of confronting groups of teens as you just never know how they are going to react. At least the management team have offered some complimentary tickets so I'll get to see the Avengers for the 2.5th time!




jackcarter -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (27/5/2012 10:33:24 PM)

MiB3 = 55m opening

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/




st3veebee -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (30/5/2012 10:43:06 AM)

It looks like Dark Shadows is going to flop if that $150 mill budget is correct. I'd far refer it to have done well than alice in wonderland..

Solid stuff from MiiiB, Avengers currently 1.3 bill nice BO figures.


How about Prometheus? About 65 Mill budget: I'm predicting about 300 Million worldwide. That said I am terrible at predicting figures.




Spaldron -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (30/5/2012 1:57:57 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: st3veebee

How about Prometheus? About 65 Mill budget:


I'd say its budget is a bit more than that.




st3veebee -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (30/5/2012 2:35:51 PM)

I thought so too but it was the only figure I could find looking about the web.




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