Sutty -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (6/4/2012 9:51:37 PM)
notice the 2012 preview didnt have any Box Office estimates ( its been a few years since empire did them)so heres a selection
(US/overall worldwide) :
Hobbit - 450m/1.3b - got to be at least as big as last Potter. could even be the next $2b hit
I don't see this making anywhere near to $2b. It'll be big, but there is a hell of a gap in time between this and when Return of the King was released so may lack the momentum to go ballistic.
TDKR - 500m/950m - going to risk saying not quite as big as TDK
$1b+ perhaps moving towards or just over the one and a half billion mark.
Spiderman - 300m/800m - unnecessary reboot but its still spiderman, theyve always been around the 800m-1b mark and its been a while since 3 now.
$450 million ish.
Avengers - 350m/750m - the allure of several superheroes in basically Iron Man 3 will make it bigger than either IMs, but cant see it touching TDKR
around the $1b mark. Fans of various of the previous movies will combine to make this a hit. May be a lighter antidote to the bleakness of Batman.
Bond - 200m/650m - should be abit bigger than last 2 due to long wait plus the 50th ann
guessing between 200m and 650m is somewhat sitting on the fence don't you think? I think between $350m and $450m
Promethues- 220m/450m - if its rated PG13, may be abit lower if rated R? or even more? (will probably be 15 in UK if PG13 in US...or 15/18 if R rated). Might be even bigger as great trailer and, like Cameron, Scott doing SF again will be a big draw, plus cosmology/mysterious 'wonders of the universe' type stuff is getting quite popular now which this seems to be going for in addition to being an Alien prequel.
double your estimation there pal. easy.
MiB 3D - 200m/450m - audiences might not be that bothered about this, could be lower like 300m
meh. hard to care. don't see it making anywhere near 450m.
Titans 2 - 120m/420m - audiences might be abit jaded by Titans after last one, but should still be biggish as what else is out end of march?
GI Joe 2 - 150m/320m - Willis and Rock could make this F&F bigger like 500m
Battleship - 150m/300m - Transformers at sea with Rhianna could make this even bigger..or could be first casualty of the summer
Snow White - 120m/300m - a dark realistic fairy tale hasnt really been done on this scale before but Mirror Mirror may prevent this from being bigger
Expendables 2 - 100m/300m - JCVD, Norris plus bigger parts for Arnie and Willis should make this bigger than 1st but the novelty of an Avengers style action hero movie may have worn off now (plus the first wasnt that great) - maybe the PG13 rating will backfire too?
Looper - 100m/200m - potential sleeper and could do ALOT more if its as good/clever as Inception
won't be. fact.
Dredd - 40m/80m - cant see audiences going for this much
think you are way out there man. what are you smoking!!??