RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (Full Version)

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mclane1 -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (2/1/2012 5:55:51 PM)

Isn't that like making a cup of tea without a tea bag, yeah some people dig a mug of hot water but if you were gonna gamble on what they would prefer??
The Alien is so iconic and so loved i think people may feel a bit cheated that it is absent. Especially as you say after many shit films featuring the beast have been rolled out and this one has a once great director.

Don't get me wrong though it will be a cool film , maybe not box office gold though




Spaldron -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (2/1/2012 7:54:10 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: mclane1

although i still cant get over the comment that not having aliens in a alien prequel movie is a GOOD thing and more people will see it, funniest thing ive heard in a long time, comedy gold


LOL.[:D]

quote:

got a funny feeling about the hobbit, just doesnt sit right- trailer looks tepid at best, production problems- may be a suprise turkey?


MEGALOLZ! [sm=happy07.gif]




Macavity -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (3/1/2012 9:39:20 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: mclane1

Isn't that like making a cup of tea without a tea bag, yeah some people dig a mug of hot water but if you were gonna gamble on what they would prefer??
The Alien is so iconic and so loved i think people may feel a bit cheated that it is absent. Especially as you say after many shit films featuring the beast have been rolled out and this one has a once great director.

Don't get me wrong though it will be a cool film , maybe not box office gold though


You're right - the Alien is iconic.
He's also out of steam. It's regarded more as an action figure these days thanks to numerous silly outings since the original film. Scott has noted this:

quote:

ORIGINAL: Ridley Scott

They squeezed it dry. He (the xenomorph) did very well. (He laughs) He survived, he's now in Disneyland in Orlando, and no way am I going back there. How did he end up in Disneyland? I saw him in Disneyland, Jesus Christ!



I can't wait to see what they're going to pull out the bag. We're going to be treated to something familiar but fresh hopefully. Ditching the 'xenomorph' is the best thing he could have done to keep this thing afloat.




mclane1 -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (3/1/2012 4:11:19 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Macavity

quote:

ORIGINAL: mclane1

Isn't that like making a cup of tea without a tea bag, yeah some people dig a mug of hot water but if you were gonna gamble on what they would prefer??
The Alien is so iconic and so loved i think people may feel a bit cheated that it is absent. Especially as you say after many shit films featuring the beast have been rolled out and this one has a once great director.

Don't get me wrong though it will be a cool film , maybe not box office gold though


You're right - the Alien is iconic.
He's also out of steam. It's regarded more as an action figure these days thanks to numerous silly outings since the original film. Scott has noted this:

quote:

ORIGINAL: Ridley Scott

They squeezed it dry. He (the xenomorph) did very well. (He laughs) He survived, he's now in Disneyland in Orlando, and no way am I going back there. How did he end up in Disneyland? I saw him in Disneyland, Jesus Christ!



I can't wait to see what they're going to pull out the bag. We're going to be treated to something familiar but fresh hopefully. Ditching the 'xenomorph' is the best thing he could have done to keep this thing afloat.


im sorry but your still making me chuckle [:D]




Macavity -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (9/1/2012 1:24:16 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: mclane1


quote:

ORIGINAL: Macavity

quote:

ORIGINAL: mclane1

Isn't that like making a cup of tea without a tea bag, yeah some people dig a mug of hot water but if you were gonna gamble on what they would prefer??
The Alien is so iconic and so loved i think people may feel a bit cheated that it is absent. Especially as you say after many shit films featuring the beast have been rolled out and this one has a once great director.

Don't get me wrong though it will be a cool film , maybe not box office gold though


You're right - the Alien is iconic.
He's also out of steam. It's regarded more as an action figure these days thanks to numerous silly outings since the original film. Scott has noted this:

quote:

ORIGINAL: Ridley Scott

They squeezed it dry. He (the xenomorph) did very well. (He laughs) He survived, he's now in Disneyland in Orlando, and no way am I going back there. How did he end up in Disneyland? I saw him in Disneyland, Jesus Christ!



I can't wait to see what they're going to pull out the bag. We're going to be treated to something familiar but fresh hopefully. Ditching the 'xenomorph' is the best thing he could have done to keep this thing afloat.


im sorry but your still making me chuckle [:D]



Ah, sigh.




azzman1984 -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (27/2/2012 8:37:10 PM)

Here's the worldwide grosses for 2012 so far

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/yearly/chart/?view2=worldwide&yr=2012&p=.htm




spark1 -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (28/2/2012 10:38:02 AM)

interesting bit on oscar movies and worldwide grosses-

http://www.slate.com/blogs/browbeat/2012/02/27/best_foreign_film_in_other_countries_how_do_american_movies_fare_.html





spark1 -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (1/3/2012 11:23:43 AM)

variety on US BO to date-

http://www.variety.com/article/VR1118050904






azzman1984 -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (3/3/2012 1:45:45 PM)

I am shocked how well Journey 2 is doing at the box office!




spark1 -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (3/3/2012 1:51:47 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: azzman1984

I am shocked how well Journey 2 is doing at the box office!


don't be-they like what the rock is cooking, in US and overseas.




jackcarter -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (3/3/2012 2:52:37 PM)

stick The Rock in your ailing franchise and say hello to an extra 200m BO!




jackcarter -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (4/3/2012 3:40:05 PM)

Jack Carter wkend predictions?

id say a Cowboys&Aliens style 40m




adambatman82 -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (4/3/2012 4:21:33 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: jackcarter

Jack Carter wkend predictions?

id say a Cowboys&Aliens style 40m



They made a film of you?!

I reckon JC will alright, it all depends on word of mouth.




Rgirvan44 -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (4/3/2012 4:28:40 PM)

It will do fine on account of being the first mega budget movie out the gate this year. But I don't think it will do great - maybe Tron numbers?




directorscut -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (4/3/2012 4:45:14 PM)

It's going to bomb.

Hard.




threshold -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (4/3/2012 11:29:10 PM)

^Yea, probably going to do Cowboys and Aliens ratio (eg, just 10 or 20 million above the budget)

Lorax had a ludicrous opening weekend.
70 mllion? Jeez.




st3veebee -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (5/3/2012 4:14:41 PM)

Really intruiged to see how John Carter does: it reeks of a huge flop to me. Anyone catch Andrew Stanton on Kermodes show last Friday? The Chap sure was touchy about financial questions [:D]. Can't blame him. 

-No star names
-Hardly huge fanbase (maybe in US but doubtful abroad)
-Definitely huge budget
-Title change so close to premiere is not so promising.
-CGI heavy (cough Mars needs moms, Green Lantern, Cowboys & Aliens etc.)






Timon -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (5/3/2012 4:17:56 PM)

I think John Carter will do solid box office.

For me the real mystery is going to MIB3. It's been 10 years since the last film, which under performed and NO ONE liked. The only real draw is Will Smith who hasn't been in a blockbuster since I Am Legend.




directorscut -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (5/3/2012 4:41:34 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: st3veebee

Really intruiged to see how John Carter does: it reeks of a huge flop to me. Anyone catch Andrew Stanton on Kermodes show last Friday? The Chap sure was touchy about financial questions [:D]. Can't blame him. 

-No star names
-Hardly huge fanbase (maybe in US but doubtful abroad)
-Definitely huge budget
-Title change so close to premiere is not so promising.
-CGI heavy (cough Mars needs moms, Green Lantern, Cowboys & Aliens etc.)





- Terrible trailers/marketing.




porntrooper -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (5/3/2012 4:49:58 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: directorscut


quote:

ORIGINAL: st3veebee

Really intruiged to see how John Carter does: it reeks of a huge flop to me. Anyone catch Andrew Stanton on Kermodes show last Friday? The Chap sure was touchy about financial questions [:D]. Can't blame him. 

-No star names
-Hardly huge fanbase (maybe in US but doubtful abroad)
-Definitely huge budget
-Title change so close to premiere is not so promising.
-CGI heavy (cough Mars needs moms, Green Lantern, Cowboys & Aliens etc.)





- Terrible trailers/marketing.


I had no desire to see John Cartera few weeks ago, simply because of the terrible marketing. It just made the film look like utter shite, which I think most people agree with. However, recent reviews and word of mouth have really ramped up my interest, so much so that I'll be seeing it this weekend in IMAX. If that word of mouth and advance buzz starts to pick up with Joe Public, it could do really well. A couple of mates saw it last week and likened it in tone and quality to JJ's Star Trek, which if true could make JC a bit of a sleeper hit.




spark1 -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (6/3/2012 10:16:18 AM)

usa today judges it a weak season but US box office still making it big-

http://www.usatoday.com/life/movies/news/story/2012-03-01/box-office-surge-brings-hope-for-2012/53306842/1




directorscut -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (7/3/2012 7:26:57 PM)

John Carter tracking at $25 million OW.

I think it's going to do Time Machine (2002) type numbers: http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=timemachine.htm




azzman1984 -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (9/3/2012 11:50:27 PM)

Here's the latest John Carter box office news http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/john-carter-box-office-russia-298092




spark1 -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (10/3/2012 12:31:01 PM)

the reason stanton was short with kermode over 'john carter'-

http://www.movieline.com/2012/03/09/a-complete-and-utter-lie-the-fact-fiction-and-fury-behind-john-carters-woes/




Shifty Bench -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (10/3/2012 1:56:06 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: st3veebee

Really intruiged to see how John Carter does: it reeks of a huge flop to me. Anyone catch Andrew Stanton on Kermodes show last Friday? The Chap sure was touchy about financial questions [:D]. Can't blame him. 

-Title change so close to premiere is not so promising.


Did it get a title change close to the premiere? I thought it was known as just John Carter for the past year [&:]




azzman1984 -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (11/3/2012 1:26:58 AM)

The highest grossing movies of the year so far

1
Journey 2: The Mysterious Island
WB
$273.5 
The Intouchables
Wein.
$260.5
Safe House
Uni.
$164.0
The Vow
SGem
$154.5
Underworld Awakening
SGem
$152.5
The Secret World of Arrietty
BV
$143.5
Chronicle (2012)
Fox
$105.6
Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance
Sony
$104.5

Let the Bullets Fly
Vari.
$104.3
Dr. Seuss' The Lorax
Uni.
$92.8




jackcarter -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (11/3/2012 4:49:50 PM)

JC has 30m opening...but a 70m opening in rest of the world - so not too bad at all.

maybe go on to do about 100m in US and maybe 200m+ overseas?




adambatman82 -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (11/3/2012 5:41:00 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: jackcarter

JC has 30m opening...but a 70m opening in rest of the world - so not too bad at all.

maybe go on to do about 100m in US and maybe 200m+ overseas?


Hasn't it been the most successful opening of all time in Russia or something? Shame its done so relatively poorly in the US, I didn't think it was that bad. It's certainly no worse than 90% of last years blockbusters.




Deviation -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (11/3/2012 6:18:25 PM)

It still won't be enough to pay back the marketing costs though, and it will still suffer to get its budget back.




adambatman82 -> RE: 2012 Box Office Estimates (11/3/2012 6:25:36 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Deviation

It still won't be enough to pay back the marketing costs though, and it will still suffer to get its budget back.


It'll eventually break in to profit. All blockbusters do. There's a really great analysis of how this sort of thing really works in The Good, The Bad & The Multiplex. Box office aside any major release like this will pocket a fortune from home video and TV rights.




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