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Oscars 2014 Cheat Sheet: Best Picture
We explain why they will win, and why they might not...

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As is traditional now that the Academy Award nominations have been announced, we’re profiling the nominees in each of the main categories and assessing their strengths and weaknesses going into the competition. We already profiled Best Adapted Screenplay, Best Original Screenplay, Best Supporting Actor, Best Supporting Actress, Best Actress, Best Actor and Best Director. Phew! But now it’s time for the big one: what film will win Best Picture and why? We have all the answers as we search out the Oscar film of the year…

WORDS HELEN O'HARA
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12 YEARS A SLAVE

12 Years A Slave

WHY IT WILL WIN WHY IT WON'T WIN
1. In some ways this feels like the most Oscar-y candidate of the bunch: a period drama with a heavy emotional impact, great performances and contemporary resonance. And it says something about America. 1. An Oscar pedigree does not a win guarantee, and in fact risks making even the most heartfelt and sincere film (like this one) feel like a cynical award-grabber.
2. The film took home the Producers Guild Of America (PGA) award, traditionally the best indicator of a Best Picture win, the Golden Globe, the BAFTA and the AFI prize, as well as a host of critics’ prizes. It also has a highly respectable nine nominations, including Best Director and Best Editing, both strongly linked to Best Picture winners (every Best Picture winner since 1981 has had an Editing nomination, and most have Director nods too). 2. Gravity actually tied with this for the PGA priz and took Best British Film at the BAFTAs, while American Hustle took the other category at the Globes, and both of those also have Director and Editing nominations. With a relatively small box-office toll of $44m, 12 Years is by no means a complete shoo-in.
3. Oscar has gone for stories of hope over the last few years, something with a happy and uplifting ending. This does fit the bill. 3. The Oscars, wary of typecasting, have moved away from big historical epics in recent years: Argo doesn’t quite fit that bill, nor does The Hurt Locker, Slumdog Millionaire or No Country For Old Men. And never forget: Crash beat Brokeback Mountain.

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Your Comments

1 "the Dench"
"Power of Dench"...should read..."Power of the Dench". Blanchett, Di Caprio, Fassbender, Lawrence are the actors...Hustle for Original Screenplay, Wall Street for Adapted, O'Russell for Director, Gravity for Editing + cinematography +Sound + special effects...etc More

Posted by Samurai7 on Tuesday February 4, 2014, 11:41

2 "the power of Dench"
Somebody needs to make that movie where Dame Judi frowns at people, quick! More

Posted by Dropje on Monday February 3, 2014, 11:32

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